Check out our free Bucks vs Heat pick and preview for this NBA game in Miami. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Bucks vs Heat NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat
- Where: Miami at the Arena
- Date: Saturday, January 14th
- Betting Odds MIL -1.0, MIL -105 | MIA -115 O/U nan
So far, the Bucks have put together an overall record of 27-15, while going 22-17-3 vs the spread. Over the team’s past 3 games, Milwaukee has an overall record of 2-1, including going 2-0-1 against the spread.
The Bucks are coming off a game in which they lost to the Heat by a score of 108-102. However, because they were the 6 point underdogs, they finished with an ATS push. Going into halftime, the teams were all tied at 45, before the Heat went on to take control of the game in the 2nd half. In the loss, Jrue Holiday led the team in scoring with 24 points on a field goal percentage of 70.0%.
So far, the Heat have put together an overall record of 23-20, while going 17-24-2 vs the spread. The Heat entered today’s game having picked up 2 straight wins. This has come on an average scoring differential of 3.5 points per game.
The Heat are looking to add another win to their resume, as they took down the Bucks by a score of 108-102. This win gave them an ATS push, as the team was 6 point favorites. Miami and the Bucks entered the second half all tied at 45. In the win, Gabe Vincent led the team in scoring with 28 points on a field goal percentage of 58.8%.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
I Similar to their season-long average, the Bucks averaged 110.75 points per game vs the Heat. On the other side, Miami saw an improvement in their scoring numbers when playing the Bucks, as they averaged 117.75 points per game in these matchups. Over the last 5 head to head meetings, the Heat have averaged 115 points per game compared to 109 for Milwaukee. This has led to an ATS record of 3-1-1 for Miami. The over-under record in these same games is 4-1, with the teams combining for an average of 224 points per game.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
Through 42 games, the Bucks are averaging 112.2 points per contest, placing them 21st in the NBA. The Bucks come into the game as one of the league’s better 3-point shooting teams, connecting at a rate of 13.5 made 3’s per game. If the Bucks offense is going to improve, they could look to play at a faster tempo, as they currently average just 99.8 possession per game. This could benefit the team as they are currently one of the better 3-point shooting units in the NBA.
Defensively, Milwaukee has had its problems giving up an average of 112.13 points per game (19th).
One situation to keep an eye on leading up the game is the availability of Giannis Antetokounmpo, as he is currently questionable on the injury report. If he is able to play, the team will have it’s 1-2 punch availble as Antetokounmpo leads the team in scoring at 31.0 points per game while Lopez is 2nd at 14.5. For the season, Antetokounmpo is 3rd in the NBA in usage rate and 11th in player efficiency. Behind him, Lopez has taken 12.2% of the team’s field goal attempts, connecting at a rate of 49.9%.
The Heat come into today’s game as the 30th ranked scoring offense at 108.8 points per game. Coming into today’s game, the Heat will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 12.2 made 3’s per game. If the Miami offense is going to improve, they must continue to do a good job avoiding turnovers. Currently, the unit is 6th in fewest turnovers per game.
So far, the Heat have played well defensively, as they are ranked 4th in the league at 105.57 points per contest.
Before getting a bet down on this matchup, be sure to check in on the health status of Tyler Herro who is 2nd on the team in scoring at 21.2 points per game. At the time of this article, Herro is listed as questionable. For the season, he is 2nd on the team in usage rate and is 103rd in the NBA in player efficiency rating. If he is able to play, Miami benefit from having both of their top scorers as Bam Adebayo leads the team and is 36th in the league in scoring (21.5). For today’s matchup, he will going against a defense ranked 16th in points allowed to centers.
Bucks vs Heat Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Bucks -1.0
- Free Total Prediction: Over nan
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