Check out our free Bucks vs Nuggets pick and preview for this NBA game in Denver. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Bucks vs Nuggets NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Milwaukee Bucks at Denver Nuggets
- Where: Denver at Ball Arena
- Date: Saturday, March 25th
- Betting Odds DEN -2.5, MIL +112 | DEN -136 O/U OFF
So far, the Bucks have put together an overall record of 53-20, while going 40-28-5 vs the spread. Across the Bucks 3 game win streak, they have an average scoring margin of 23.67 points per game.
In their previous game, the Bucks took down the Jazz by a score of 144-116. Not only did they come away with a straight up win, but they also covered the spread as 9 point favorites. Milwaukee was able to take care of business in the second half of this game, as they didn’t allow the Jazz to cut into their 14 point halftime lead. In the win, Grayson Allen led the team in scoring with 25 points on a field goal percentage of 57.1%.
The Nuggets come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 49-24. So far, the team has gone 39-33-1 against the spread. Denver comes into the game having rattled off 2 straight wins. In these victories, the team has an average scoring margin of 10.0 points per game
The Nuggets will look to keep things rolling, as they previously beat the Wizards by a score of 118-104. Heading into the game, they were 9 point favorites against the spread, giving them an ATS win. Denver went on to win the game, despite trailing by 2 going into halftime. In the win, Nikola Jokic led the team in scoring with 31 points on a field goal percentage of 75.0%.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
In the most recent game between the two teams, the Bucks picked up a 107-99 win over the Nuggets. However, heading into the game, Milwaukee was favored to win by 12.5 points, giving the Nuggets and ATS victory. This has been the only matchup between the two teams this season. Similar to their season-long average, the Bucks averaged 110.0 points per game vs the Nuggets. On the other side, Denver saw an improvement in their scoring numbers when playing the Bucks, as they averaged 122.5 points per game in these matchups. In terms of betting, Denver has an ATS record of 3-2 in the previous 5 matchups vs Milwaukee. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +7 points per game in favor of the Nuggets. In these contests, they averaged a combined 225 points per game, leading to an over-under mark of 3-2.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
Coming into today’s action, Milwaukee is averaging 116.8 points per contest. This figure places them 7th in the league. In terms of pace, the Bucks are on the top units in the NBA, averaging 100.8 possessions per game. So far, the team has been able to rank well on offense, even though their up-tempo style of play has not translated into inside scoring. Currently, Milwaukee is just 25th in 2-point field goal makes per game.
Currently, the Bucks defense is ranked 19th in points allowed. So far, opposing teams are averaging 112.13 points per game vs the unit.
This season, the Bucks offense has primarily worked through Giannis Antetokounmpo and Jrue Holiday who are 1st and 2nd on the team in scoring. In his 58 games, Antetokounmpo is 5th in the NBA at 31.1 points per game. So far, him and Holiday have accounted for 39% of the team’s field goal attempts while combining to average 50.1 points per contest. In addition to sitting 2nd on the team in scoring, Jrue Holiday is grabbing 5.0 rebounds for Milwaukee to go along with 7.3 assists.
Denver will look to continue with their strong offensive play, as they are averaging 116.7 points per game (8th). So far, the Nuggets are averaging 97.9 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. A key reason behind the team’s overall offensive success is their ability to knock down the 3-point shot. Despite their slow style of play, their 3-point shooting percentage of 38.9% has help make up for fewer opportunites.
Defensively, Denver has had its problems giving up an average of 110.41 points per game (14th).
On offense, Nikola Jokic leads the Nuggets in scoring at 24.8 points per game, placing him 23rd in the NBA. Overall, Jokic has hit 63.6% of his shots while accounting for 17.4% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 20th in points allowed to centers. At 20.1 points per game, Jamal Murray is the 2nd leading scorer for the Nuggets. For the season, he is 82nd in the league in player efficiency rating, while posting a field goal percentage of 45.1%.
Bucks vs Nuggets Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Bucks +2.5
- Free Total Prediction: Under OFF