Check out our free Bucks vs Pistons pick and preview for this NBA game in Detroit. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Bucks vs Pistons NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Milwaukee Bucks at Detroit Pistons
- Where: Detroit at Little Caesars Arena
- Date: Monday, March 27th
- Betting Odds DET +14.5, MIL -1347 | DET +815 O/U 232.5
The Bucks come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 53-21. So far, the team has gone 40-29-5 against the spread. Across the team’s previous 3 games, they have gone 2-1 straight-up and 2-1 vs the spread.
Not only did the Bucks drop their last game to the Nuggets. But they also picked up an ATS loss, as they fell by a score of 129-106 as 3 point underdogs. Milwaukee missed out on an opportunity to add a win to their resume, as they held a 3 point lead going into halftime. In the loss, Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in scoring with 31 points on a field goal percentage of 59.1%.
The Pistons come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 16-58. So far, the team has gone 31-42-1 against the spread. Detroit will take the court having lost 5 straight games. On average, they have lost these games by -18.8 points per game.
Not only did the Pistons drop their last game to the Raptors. But they also picked up an ATS loss, as they fell by a score of 118-97 as 13 point underdogs. Detroit struggled throughout the game, as they were not able to chip home at a 20 point halftime deficit. In the loss, Jaden Ivey led the team in scoring with 20 points on a field goal percentage of 53.8%.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
In the most recent game between the two teams, the Bucks picked up a 110-108 win over the Pistons. However, heading into the game, Milwaukee was favored to win by 13.5 points, giving the Pistons and ATS victory. So far this season, the Bucks have a record of 3-0 vs the Pistons. Similar to their season-long average, the Bucks averaged 117.0 points per game vs the Pistons. While the Bucks were able to maintain their usual level of production against Detroit, the Pistons averaged fewer points per game in the series, at 99.5. The ATS record across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings is 3-2 in favor of the Bucks. In these matchups, Milwaukee has averaged 122 points per game, while allowing 109. The over-under record in these same games is 1-3-1, with the teams combining for an average of 231 points per game.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
For the season, the Milwaukee offense is the 9th ranked unit in the NBA, at 116.7 points per contest. The Bucks come into the game as one of the league’s better 3-point shooting teams, connecting at a rate of 14.8 made 3’s per game. One thing that could take the team’s offense to the next level is if they can begin to generate more opportunites at the free-throw line. So far, they are averaging just 16.8 made free-throws per game.
Currently, the Bucks defense is ranked 19th in points allowed. So far, opposing teams are averaging 112.13 points per game vs the unit.
This season, the Bucks offense has primarily worked through Giannis Antetokounmpo and Jrue Holiday who are 1st and 2nd on the team in scoring. In his 59 games, Antetokounmpo is 5th in the NBA at 31.1 points per game. So far, him and Holiday have accounted for 39% of the team’s field goal attempts while combining to average 50.0 points per contest. In addition to sitting 2nd on the team in scoring, Jrue Holiday is grabbing 5.0 rebounds for Milwaukee to go along with 7.3 assists.
The Pistons come into today’s game as the 28th ranked scoring offense at 110.7 points per game. So far, the Pistons are averaging 99.4 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. A key aspect of the team’s offensive struggles is the fact that they not only play at a slow pace, but they struggle to score inside. Heading into today’s game, Detroit is just 21st in shots made inside the arc.
Defensively, Detroit has had its problems giving up an average of 112.55 points per game (22nd).
Detroit will be relying on Jaden Ivey to provide a strong scoring performance in today’s game against the Milwaukee. Bojan Bogdanovic has been ruled out. So far this season, Bogdanovic has been the team’s leading scorer with an average of 21.6 points per game. Ivey is 2nd on the team with 15.4 points per game, which places him 88.0th in the NBA. In 66 games, he has hit 41.2% of his field goal attempts and is averaging 3.9 rebounds per game.
Bucks vs Pistons Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Pistons +14.5
- Free Total Prediction: Over 232.5
Props