Bucks vs Warriors Pick, Preview & Betting Odds For Saturday, March 11th

Check out our free Bucks vs Warriors pick and preview for this NBA game in San Francisco. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.

Bucks vs Warriors NBA Pick & Preview

Sport: NBA
Teams: Milwaukee Bucks at Golden State Warriors
Where: San Francisco at Chase Center
Date: Saturday, March 11th
Betting Odds GS -1, MIL -114 | GS -108 O/U OFF

The Bucks come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 48-18. So far, the team has gone 36-26-4 against the spread. Milwaukee has posted an average scoring differential of 7.33 points per game across their currrent 3 game win streak.

Milwaukee is going for another win in today’s game, as they previously took down the Nets. Going into the game, they were 9 point favorites against the spread. Their 118-113 victory was not enough to cover. Milwaukee benefited from holding a substantial first half lead, as the Nets actually outscored the Bucks in the second half. Leading the team in scoring was Bobby Portis, as he contributed 28 points while hitting 73.3% of his shots.

The Warriors come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 34-33. So far, the team has gone 31-35-1 against the spread. Against the Bucks, the Warriors are looking to break out of a 3 game losing streak. These defeats have come on an average scoring differential of -12.67 points per contest.

The Warriors are coming off a dissappointing 131-110 loss to the Grizzlies. Going into the game, they were favored to win by 3 points. Golden State struggled throughout the game, as they were not able to chip home at a 18 point halftime deficit. In the loss, Stephen Curry led the team in scoring with 29 points on a field goal percentage of 52.6%.

Head To Head Recap & Stats

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Bucks picked up the 128-111 win over the Warriors. The Bucks point margin of victory was enough to cover the spread as 2.5 point favorite. This has been the only matchup between the two teams this season. Similar to their season-long average, the Bucks averaged 113.5 points per game vs the Warriors. Just like the Bucks, the Warriors maintained their usual level of scoring in head-to-head matchups, averaging 110.5 points per game vs Milwaukee. In terms of betting, Milwaukee has an ATS record of 3-2 in the previous 5 matchups vs Golden State. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +12 points per game in favor of the Bucks. Over the course of these games, they averaged 232 points per game, leading a 3-2 over-under record.

Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game

For the season, the Milwaukee offense is the 9th ranked unit in the NBA, at 115.9 points per contest. The Bucks come into the game as one of the league’s better 3-point shooting teams, connecting at a rate of 14.8 made 3’s per game. In addition to their strong outside shooting numbers, the team is playing at one of the fastest paces in the NBA, averaging 100.5 possessions per contest.

Defensively, Milwaukee has had its problems giving up an average of 112.13 points per game (19th).

One situation to keep an eye on leading up the game is the availability of Giannis Antetokounmpo, as he is currently questionable on the injury report. If he is able to play, the team will have it’s 1-2 punch availble as Antetokounmpo leads the team in scoring at 31.2 points per game while Holiday is 2nd at 19.7. For the season, Antetokounmpo is 1st in the NBA in usage rate and 5th in player efficiency. Behind him, Holiday has taken 17.3% of the team’s field goal attempts, connecting at a rate of 47.7%.

Golden State will look to continue with their strong offensive play, as they are averaging 118.0 points per game (3rd). The Warriors come into the game as one of the league’s better 3-point shooting teams, connecting at a rate of 16.5 made 3’s per game. In addition to their strong outside shooting numbers, the team is playing at one of the fastest paces in the NBA, averaging 102.0 possessions per contest.

On the defensive end of the floor, the Warriors are giving up an average of 105.46 points per game, good for 3rd in the NBA.

On offense, Jordan Poole leads the Warriors in scoring at 20.7 points per game, placing him 51st in the NBA. Overall, Poole has hit 42.8% of his shots while accounting for 17.8% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 17th in points allowed to point-guards. At 29.6 points per game, Stephen Curry is the 2nd leading scorer for the Warriors. For the season, he is 11th in the league in player efficiency rating, while posting a field goal percentage of 49.7%.