Check out our free Cavaliers vs Heat pick and preview for this NBA game in Miami. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.

Cavaliers vs Heat NBA Pick & Preview

  • Sport: NBA
  • Teams: Cleveland Cavaliers at Miami Heat
  • Where: Miami at Miami-Dade Arena
  • Date: Friday, March 10th
  • Betting Odds MIA +1.5, CLE -122 | MIA +102 O/U 214.5

So far, the Cavaliers have put together an overall record of 42-26, while going 38-29-1 vs the spread. Cleveland comes into the game having rattled off 3 straight wins. In these games, they have an average scoring differential of 10.67 points.

The Cavaliers will look to keep things rolling, as they previously beat the Heat by a score of 104-100. Heading into the game, they were 1 point favorites against the spread, giving them an ATS win. This was a highly contested matchup, as Cleveland was not able to extend their lead in the second half as they went into halftime with a 4 point lead. In the win, Darius Garland led the team in scoring with 25 points on a field goal percentage of 50.0%.

So far, the Heat have put together an overall record of 35-32, while going 24-41-2 vs the spread. Across the team’s previous 3 games, they have gone 2-1 straight-up and 1-2 vs the spread.

Miami is trying to bounce back from a 104-100 loss to the Cavaliers. Going into this game, the team was 1 point underdogs on the spread, giving them an ATS loss. Miami was not able to make a comeback in this matchup, as they went into the half down by 4. Leading the team in scoring was Jimmy Butler, as he contributed 28 points while hitting 57.1% of his shots.

Head To Head Recap & Stats

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Cavaliers picked up the 113-87 win over the Heat. The Cavaliers point margin of victory was enough to cover the spread as 7.5 point favorite. So far this season, the Cavaliers have a record of 2-1 vs the Heat. Similar to their season-long average, the Cavaliers averaged 107.0 points per game vs the Heat. While the Cavaliers were able to maintain their usual level of production against Miami, the Heat averaged fewer points per game in the series, at 98.67. Across the previous 5 meetings between the teams, the Cavaliers have an average scoring margin of +5 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 3-2. The over-under record in these same games is 1-4, with the teams combining for an average of 203 points per game.

Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game

Through 68 games, the Cavaliers are averaging 111.9 points per contest, placing them 25th in the NBA. Coming into today’s game, the Cavaliers will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 11.5 made 3’s per game. Not only is the Cleveland offense struggling with their outside shot, but they are also getting to the charity stripe at a below average rate. So far, they are the 24th ranked team in made free-throws per contest.

On the defensive end of the floor, the Cavaliers are giving up an average of 105.67 points per game, good for 5th in the NBA.

This season, the Cavaliers offense has primarily worked through Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland who are 1st and 2nd on the team in scoring. In his 57 games, Mitchell is 11th in the NBA at 27.4 points per game. So far, him and Garland have accounted for 43% of the team’s field goal attempts while combining to average 49.4 points per contest. In addition to sitting 2nd on the team in scoring, Darius Garland is grabbing 2.7 rebounds for Cleveland to go along with 7.9 assists.

This season, the Miami offense has had their problems scoring the ball as they are a below average unit at 108.3 points per game. When looking at the team’s pace of play, the Heat are currently below the league average in possessions per game, averaging just 96.5 per contest. Right now, the Heat offense is in search of answers, as not only do they tend to play at a slow pace, but they are just 27th in effective field goal percentage.

Against the Cavaliers, the Heat will look to continue their strong defensive play. For the year, they are the 4th ranked unit at 105.57 points per game.

On offense, Bam Adebayo leads the Heat in scoring at 21.2 points per game, placing him 43rd in the NBA. Overall, Adebayo has hit 54.2% of his shots while accounting for 18.0% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 4th in points allowed to centers. At 22.1 points per game, Jimmy Butler is the 2nd leading scorer for the Heat. For the season, he is 15th in the league in player efficiency rating, while posting a field goal percentage of 52.2%.

Cavaliers vs Heat Pick

  • Free Spread Prediction: Cavaliers -1.5
  • Free Total Prediction: Under 214.5