Check out our free Grizzlies vs Nuggets pick and preview for this NBA game in Denver. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Grizzlies vs Nuggets NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Memphis Grizzlies at Denver Nuggets
- Where: Denver at Ball Arena
- Date: Friday, March 3rd
- Betting Odds DEN -5.5, MEM +190 | DEN -230 O/U 234.0
So far, the Grizzlies have put together an overall record of 38-23, while going 29-30-2 vs the spread. The Grizzlies entered today’s game having picked up 3 straight wins. They have won these games by an average of 14.67 points.
The Grizzlies will look to keep things rolling, as they previously beat the Rockets by a score of 113-99. Heading into the game, they were 10 point favorites against the spread, giving them an ATS win. Although Memphis held just a 3 point lead at half, they put together a strong second half on their way to a 14 point victory. In the win, Desmond Bane led the team in scoring with 30 points on a field goal percentage of 70.6%.
The Nuggets come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 44-19. So far, the team has gone 35-27-1 against the spread. In today’s game, Denver will look to extend their 2 game winning streak. Over this stretch, they have an average scoring margin of 15.5 points.
In their previous game, the Nuggets took down the Rockets by a score of 133-112. Not only did they come away with a straight up win, but they also covered the spread as 12 point favorites. Denver was able to take care of business in the second half of this game, as they didn’t allow the Rockets to cut into their 20 point halftime lead. In the win, Jamal Murray led the team in scoring with 32 points on a field goal percentage of 66.7%.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Nuggets picked up the win 105-91 win over the Grizzlies. Heading into the game, Denver was the 1.0 point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. So far, the two team’s have split their season series, with each team at 1-1. Similar to their season-long average, the Grizzlies averaged 111.25 points per game vs the Nuggets. Just like the Grizzlies, the Nuggets maintained their usual level of scoring in head-to-head matchups, averaging 110.75 points per game vs Memphis. Through the last 5 matchups between the teams, Memphis has an ATS mark of 3-2. But, looking at the scoring margin in these games, an average of just 1 points per game separates the teams. Memphis and Denver averaged a combined 217 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 1-4.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
Coming into today’s action, Memphis is averaging 115.9 points per contest. This figure places them 9th in the league. So far, Memphis is averaging 101.0 possessions per game, making them one of the more up-tempo teams in the league. Although the team is playing at an up-tempo speed, they would benefit from scoring with more efficiency, as they are just 18th in the league in overall field goal percentage, at 53.0%.
Defensively, the Grizzlies are one of the top performing units in the league, giving up 109.93 points per contest (12th).
This season, the Grizzlies offense has primarily worked through Ja Morant and Desmond Bane who are 1st and 2nd on the team in scoring. In his 52 games, Morant is 11th in the NBA at 27.1 points per game. So far, him and Bane have accounted for 40% of the team’s field goal attempts while combining to average 48.5 points per contest. In addition to sitting 2nd on the team in scoring, Desmond Bane is grabbing 5.1 rebounds for Memphis to go along with 4.1 assists.
Coming into today’s action, Denver is averaging 117.2 points per contest. This figure places them 5th in the league. So far, the Nuggets are averaging 98.4 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. A key reason behind the team’s overall offensive success is their ability to knock down the 3-point shot. Despite their slow style of play, their 3-point shooting percentage of 39.2% has help make up for fewer opportunites.
Against the Grizzlies, the Nuggets will need a stronger defensive effort as they are ranked just 14th in points allowed.
This season, the Nuggets offense has primarily worked through Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray who are 1st and 2nd on the team in scoring. In his 55 games, Jokic is 24th in the NBA at 24.6 points per game. So far, him and Murray have accounted for 36% of the team’s field goal attempts while combining to average 44.7 points per contest. In addition to sitting 2nd on the team in scoring, Jamal Murray is grabbing 4.1 rebounds for Denver to go along with 6.0 assists.
Grizzlies vs Nuggets Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Grizzlies +5.5
- Free Total Prediction: Over 234.0