Check out our free Grizzlies vs Warriors pick and preview for this NBA game in San Francisco. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Grizzlies vs Warriors NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Memphis Grizzlies at Golden State Warriors
- Where: San Francisco at Chase Center
- Date: Sunday, December 25th
- Betting Odds GS +6.5, MEM -250 | GS +205 O/U 228.5
So far, the Grizzlies have put together an overall record of 20-11, while going 15-14-2 vs the spread. In the teams past 3 games, their overall mark sits at 1-2. Memphis is 1-2 vs the spread in these matchups.
The Grizzlies will look to keep things rolling, as they previously beat the Suns by a score of 125-100. Heading into the game, they were 2 point favorites against the spread, giving them an ATS win. Memphis played well enough in the second half to prevent the Suns from making things interesting down the stretch, as they led by 21 going into halftime. Leading the team in scoring was Jaren Jackson Jr., as he contributed 24 points while hitting 52.9% of his shots.
The Warriors come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 15-18. So far, the team has gone 14-19-0 against the spread. The Warriors head into today’s action in the midst of a 2 game losing streak. Their average scoring differential in these defeats is -34.0.
Golden State is trying to bounce back from a 143-113 loss to the Nets. Going into this game, the team was 10 point underdogs on the spread, giving them an ATS loss. In the loss, Golden State got off to a slow start, trailing by 40 points going into halftime. In the loss, James Wiseman led the team in scoring with 30 points on a field goal percentage of 85.7%.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
In last year’s head-to-head series, Memphis put together a mark of 3-1 through games. When playing at the Chase Center, the Grizzlies and Warriors split the season series (1-1). Similar to their season-long average, the Grizzlies averaged 111.75 points per game vs the Warriors. While the Grizzlies were able to maintain their usual level of production against Golden State, the Warriors averaged fewer points per game in the series, at 104.25. Through the last 5 matchups between the teams, Memphis has an ATS mark of 3-2. But, looking at the scoring margin in these games, an average of just 0 points per game separates the teams. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 2-3. Combined, they averaged 218 points in these games.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
The Memphis offense will take the floor in today’s game with the league’s 6th ranked offense at 115.7 points per game. Coming into today’s game, the Grizzlies will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 11.7 made 3’s per game. Memphis appears to be a candidate to have some offensive regression as not only are they a below average outside shooting unit, but they are generating free-throws at a rate below the NBA average.
So far, the Grizzlies have played well defensively, as they are ranked 12th in the league at 109.93 points per contest.
This season, the Grizzlies offense has primarily worked through Ja Morant and Dillon Brooks who are 1st and 2nd on the team in scoring. In his 26 games, Morant is 15th in the NBA at 26.5 points per game. So far, him and Brooks have accounted for 40% of the team’s field goal attempts while combining to average 44.4 points per contest. In addition to sitting 2nd on the team in scoring, Dillon Brooks is grabbing 3.7 rebounds for Memphis to go along with 2.8 assists.
Through 33 games, Golden State is the 5th best scoring team at 116.5 points per game. In terms of pace, the Warriors are on the top units in the NBA, averaging 102.0 possessions per game. A key aspect of the team’s offensive success is their ability to pair an up-tempo style of play with efficient outside shooting. So far, they are the 5th ranked team in 3-point shooting percentage.
Against the Grizzlies, the Warriors will look to continue their strong defensive play. For the year, they are the 3rd ranked unit at 105.46 points per game.
Without Stephen Curry, Golden State will need Jordan Poole to step up and put together a strong scoring performance against the Memphis today. This season, Curry leads the team in scoring with 30.0 points per game. Poole is the team’s 2nd leading scorer with 19.1 points per game, which places him 58.0th in the NBA. In his 33 games, he has hit 43.0% of his field goal attempts and is averaging 2.1 rebounds per game.
Grizzlies vs Warriors Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Warriors +6.5
- Free Total Prediction: Under 228.5
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