Check out our free Hawks vs Nuggets pick and preview for this NBA game in Denver. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Hawks vs Nuggets NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Atlanta Hawks at Denver Nuggets
- Where: Denver at Ball Arena
- Date: Saturday, February 4th
- Betting Odds DEN -6.5, ATL +219 | DEN -275 O/U OFF
So far, the Hawks have put together an overall record of 27-26, while going 24-28-1 vs the spread. Atlanta has posted an average scoring differential of 19.5 points per game across their currrent 2 game win streak.
The Hawks are coming off a 115-108 win over the Jazz. This away win came despite entering the game as the 1 point underdogs. Atlanta only let the Jazz marginally cut into their 12 point halftime lead. Leading the team in scoring was Trae Young, as he contributed 27 points while hitting 52.6% of his shots.
The Nuggets come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 36-16. So far, the team has gone 27-24-1 against the spread. Against the Hawks, the Nuggets are looking to add to their current 2 game winning streak. The average margin of victory across these matchups is 13.0.
The Nuggets will look to keep things rolling, as they previously beat the Warriors by a score of 134-117. Heading into the game, they were 6 point favorites against the spread, giving them an ATS win. Although Denver held just a 1 point lead at half, they put together a strong second half on their way to a 17 point victory. Leading the team in scoring was Jamal Murray, as he contributed 33 points while hitting 52.2% of his shots.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
I Last year, the Hawks saw a drop in overall scoring when playing the Nuggets, averaging 105.5 points per game. As for Atlanta, they actually improved their points per game numbers in head-to-head matchups, averaging 119.0 points per contest against the Nuggets. In terms of betting, Denver has an ATS record of 3-2 in the previous 5 matchups vs Atlanta. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +7 points per game in favor of the Nuggets. The over-under record in these same games is 4-1, with the teams combining for an average of 227 points per game.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
For the season, the Atlanta offense is the 9th ranked unit in the NBA, at 116.5 points per contest. When looking at the Hawks pace of play, they tend to play an up-tempo style of basketball. So far, the team is in the upper half of the NBA in possessions per game, averaging 100.9. Heading into the game, the Hawks will look to continue with their formula of playing fast and getting to the basket, as they are near the top of the league in two-point fields made per game.
On defense, the Hawks will look for some improved play, as they are currently the 21st ranked unit in points allowed per game.
On offense, Trae Young leads the Hawks in scoring at 27.0 points per game, placing him 14th in the NBA. Overall, Young has hit 43.0% of his shots while accounting for 21.8% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 24th in points allowed to point-guards. At 21.0 points per game, Dejounte Murray is the 2nd leading scorer for the Hawks. For the season, he is 80th in the league in player efficiency rating, while posting a field goal percentage of 46.2%.
The Denver offense will take the floor in today’s game with the league’s 5th ranked offense at 117.0 points per game. So far, the Nuggets are averaging 98.2 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. A key reason behind the team’s overall offensive success is their ability to knock down the 3-point shot. Despite their slow style of play, their 3-point shooting percentage of 39.8% has help make up for fewer opportunites.
Currently, the Nuggets defense is ranked 14th in points allowed. So far, opposing teams are averaging 110.41 points per game vs the unit.
One situation to keep an eye on leading up the game is the availability of Nikola Jokic, as he is currently questionable on the injury report. If he is able to play, the team will have it’s 1-2 punch availble as Jokic leads the team in scoring at 25.0 points per game while Murray is 2nd at 19.8. For the season, Jokic is 41st in the NBA in usage rate and 4th in player efficiency. Behind him, Murray has taken 18.3% of the team’s field goal attempts, connecting at a rate of 45.5%.
Hawks vs Nuggets Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Hawks +6.5
- Free Total Prediction: Over OFF