Check out our free Heat vs Bucks pick and preview for this NBA game in Milwaukee. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Heat vs Bucks NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Miami Heat at Milwaukee Bucks
- Where: Milwaukee at Fiserv Forum
- Date: Friday, February 24th
- Betting Odds MIL -1.5, MIA +104 | MIL -124 O/U 220.5
The Heat come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 32-27. So far, the team has gone 22-35-2 against the spread. Today, the Heat will be looking to snap a 2 game losing streak. In these games, they have an average scoring differential of -7.5 points.
Miami is trying to bounce back from a 116-105 loss to the Nets. Going into this game, the team was 2 point underdogs on the spread, giving them an ATS loss. Miami missed out on an opportunity to add a win to their resume, as they held a 4 point lead going into halftime. Leading the team in scoring was Bam Adebayo, as he contributed 24 points while hitting 52.6% of his shots.
The Bucks come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 41-17. So far, the team has gone 32-23-3 against the spread. In today’s game, Milwaukee will look to extend their 12 game winning streak. Over this stretch, they have an average scoring margin of 11.67 points.
The Bucks will look to keep things rolling, as they previously beat the Bulls by a score of 112-100. Heading into the game, they were 8 point favorites against the spread, giving them an ATS win. Milwaukee played well enough in the second half to prevent the Bulls from making things interesting down the stretch, as they led by 12 going into halftime. In the win, Brook Lopez led the team in scoring with 33 points on a field goal percentage of 72.2%.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
In the most reecent game between the two teams, the Heat picked up a 108-102 win over the Bucks. When looking at the outcome vs the spread, Miami entered as the 6.0 point favorite, resulting in an ATS push. So far this season, the Heat have a record of 2-1 vs the Bucks. In last year’s head-to-head meetings, the Heat averaged 117.75 points per game vs Milwaukee, which was an increase over their season-long average. While the Heat saw a boost in scoring, the Bucks averaged 110.75 points per contest in head-to-head meeting vs Miami. This figure was similar to season-long average. The ATS record across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings is 3-1-1 in favor of the Heat. In these matchups, Miami has averaged 113 points per game, while allowing 108. In these contests, they averaged a combined 221 points per game, leading to an over-under mark of 3-2.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
Through 59 games, the Heat are averaging 108.3 points per contest, placing them 30th in the NBA. When looking at the team’s pace of play, the Heat are currently below the league average in possessions per game, averaging just 96.6 per contest. This deliberate style of basketball has played a role in the unit ranking just 30th in made shots per game.
Against the Bucks, the Heat will look to continue their strong defensive play. For the year, they are the 4th ranked unit at 105.57 points per game.
On offense, Bam Adebayo leads the Heat in scoring at 21.6 points per game, placing him 39th in the NBA. Overall, Adebayo has hit 54.4% of his shots while accounting for 18.2% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 9th in points allowed to centers. At 21.7 points per game, Jimmy Butler is the 2nd leading scorer for the Heat. For the season, he is 22nd in the league in player efficiency rating, while posting a field goal percentage of 50.7%.
The Bucks come into today’s game as the 14th ranked scoring offense at 114.8 points per game. The Bucks come into the game as one of the league’s better 3-point shooting teams, connecting at a rate of 14.4 made 3’s per game. If the Milwaukee offense is going to improve, they would benefit from attacking the basket and generating looks at the line. So far, they are ranked just 26th in made free-throws per game.
On defense, the Bucks will look for some improved play, as they are currently the 19th ranked unit in points allowed per game.
In this game against the Heat, Jrue Holiday is expected to take on a larger offensive role for the Bucks. In his 47 games this season, Holiday has averaged 19.4 points per game and hit 46.2% of his field goal attempts. The team’s leading scorer, Giannis Antetokounmpo, is listed as doubtful for this game, making Holiday the top candidate to lead the team in scoring. He is 69th in the league in usage rate this season. He will be matched up against a Miami defense that has struggled against point-guards, ranking 9th in the league in points allowed to players at that position.
Heat vs Bucks Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Heat +1.5
- Free Total Prediction: Under 220.5