Check out our free Heat vs Cavaliers pick and preview for this NBA game in Cleveland. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Heat vs Cavaliers NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Miami Heat at Cleveland Cavaliers
- Where: Cleveland at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse
- Date: Tuesday, January 31st
- Betting Odds CLE -5, MIA +168 | CLE -206 O/U 209.5
The Heat come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 28-23. So far, the team has gone 20-29-2 against the spread. Over the team’s past 3 games, Miami has an overall record of 2-1, including going 1-2 against the spread.
In their previous game, the Heat were favored to win vs the Hornets. However, their 122-117 loss, gave them both a straight up and ATS loss. Miami let an opportunity for a win slip away as they held a lead going into the 2nd half of action. In the loss, Jimmy Butler led the team in scoring with 28 points on a field goal percentage of 78.6%.
The Cavaliers come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 31-21. So far, the team has gone 28-23-1 against the spread. Looking back on Cavaliers’ previous 3 games, they have a record of 2-1 while averaging 111 points per game. Over this stretch, their ATS mark is 2-1.
The Cavaliers will look to keep things rolling, as they previously beat the Clippers by a score of 122-99. Heading into the game, they were 11 point favorites against the spread, giving them an ATS win. Cleveland went on to win the game, as they led by 30 heading into halftime. Leading the team in scoring was Cedi Osman, as he contributed 29 points while hitting 84.6% of his shots.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
I Last year, the Heat saw a drop in overall scoring when playing the Cavaliers, averaging 98.67 points per game. While the Heat struggled on offense in the series, the Cavaliers maintained their usual level of scoring at 107.0 vs Miami. Over the last 5 head to head meetings, the Cavaliers have averaged 108 points per game compared to 101 for Miami. This has led to an ATS record of 3-2 for Cleveland. Over the course of these games, they averaged 209 points per game, leading a 2-3 over-under record.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
This season, the Miami offense is ranked 30th in the NBA in scoring at 108.6 points per game. Coming into today’s game, the Heat will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 11.8 made 3’s per game. If the Miami offense is going to improve, they must continue to do a good job avoiding turnovers. Currently, the unit is 5th in fewest turnovers per game.
Against the Cavaliers, the Heat will look to continue their strong defensive play. For the year, they are the 4th ranked unit at 105.57 points per game.
This season, the Heat offense has primarily worked through Bam Adebayo and Tyler Herro who are 1st and 2nd on the team in scoring. In his 46 games, Adebayo is 39th in the NBA at 21.4 points per game. So far, him and Herro have accounted for 38% of the team’s field goal attempts while combining to average 41.7 points per contest. In addition to sitting 2nd on the team in scoring, Tyler Herro is grabbing 5.8 rebounds for Miami to go along with 4.4 assists.
This season, the Cleveland offense has had their problems scoring the ball as they are a below average unit at 111.5 points per game. Coming into today’s game, the Cavaliers will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 11.6 made 3’s per game. Not only is the Cleveland offense struggling with their outside shot, but they are also getting to the charity stripe at a below average rate. So far, they are the 16th ranked team in made free-throws per contest.
So far, the Cavaliers have played well defensively, as they are ranked 5th in the league at 105.67 points per contest.
On offense, Donovan Mitchell leads the Cavaliers in scoring at 27.9 points per game, placing him 10th in the NBA. Overall, Mitchell has hit 48.1% of his shots while accounting for 23.7% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 20th in points allowed to shooting guards. At 21.9 points per game, Darius Garland is the 2nd leading scorer for the Cavaliers. For the season, he is 68th in the league in player efficiency rating, while posting a field goal percentage of 45.1%.
Heat vs Cavaliers Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Heat +5
- Free Total Prediction: Over 209.5
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