Check out our free Heat vs Grizzlies pick and preview for this NBA game in Memphis. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.

Heat vs Grizzlies NBA Pick & Preview

  • Sport: NBA
  • Teams: Miami Heat at Memphis Grizzlies
  • Where: Memphis at FedExForum
  • Date: Monday, December 5th
  • Betting Odds MEM -2, MIA +110 | MEM -132 O/U 226.5

So far, the Heat have put together an overall record of 11-12, while going 8-14-1 vs the spread. In the teams past 3 games, their overall mark sits at 2-1. Miami is 2-1 vs the spread in these matchups.

Miami is going for yet another win, as they previously defeated the Celtics. With the 120-116 victory, they also covered the spread as 7 point underdogs. Miami needed a strong 4th quarter effort in this game, as Celtics held a 6 point lead heading into the 4th. Leading the team in scoring was Bam Adebayo, as he contributed 28 points while hitting 55.6% of his shots.

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So far, the Grizzlies have put together an overall record of 14-9, while going 10-12-1 vs the spread. In today’s game, Memphis will look to extend their 2 game winning streak. Over this stretch, they have an average scoring margin of 9.0 points.

In their previous game, the Grizzlies took down the Pistons by a score of 122-112. Not only did they come away with a straight up win, but they also covered the spread as 6 point favorites. Memphis went on to win the game, as they led by 12 heading into halftime. Leading the team in scoring was Ja Morant, as he contributed 33 points while hitting 52.2% of his shots.

Head To Head Recap & Stats

In the 2021-2022 regular season, the Grizzlies and Heat split their head-to-head season series. In these matchups, each team won on their opponents home floor. Similar to their season-long average, the Heat averaged 109.5 points per game vs the Grizzlies. While the Heat were able to maintain their usual level of production against Memphis, the Grizzlies averaged fewer points per game in the series, at 104.0. Through the last 5 matchups between the teams, Memphis has an ATS mark of 4-1. But, looking at the scoring margin in these games, an average of just 2 points per game seperates the teams. The over-under record in these same games is 3-2, with the teams combining for an average of 212 points per game.

Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game

The Heat come into today’s game as the 26th ranked scoring offense at 109.5 points per game. When looking at the team’s pace of play, the Heat are currently below the league average in possessions per game, averaging just 98.3 per contest. A key aspect of the team’s offensive struggles is the fact that they not only play at a slow pace, but they struggle to score inside. Heading into today’s game, Miami is just 23rd in shots made inside the arc.

On the defensive end of the floor, the Heat are giving up an average of 105.57 points per game, good for 4th in the NBA.

This season, the Heat offense has primarily worked through Bam Adebayo and Kyle Lowry who are 1st and 2nd on the team in scoring. In his 21 games, Adebayo is 41st in the NBA at 21.0 points per game. so far, him and Lowry have accounted for 31% of the team’s field goal attempts while combining to average 35.83 points per contest. In addition to sitting 2nd on the team in scoring, Kyle Lowry is grabbing 4.83 rebounds for Miami to go along with 6.04 assists.

Memphis will look to continue with their strong offensive play, as they are averaging 115.3 points per game (8th). When looking at the team’s pace of play, the Grizzlies are currently below the league average in possessions per game, averaging just 100.4 per contest. Not only is the team one of the more deliberate units in the NBA, they have yet to find their shooting stroke, ranking just 21st in the league in field goal percentage 46.0%.

On the defensive end of the floor, the Grizzlies are giving up an average of 109.93 points per game, good for 12th in the NBA.

On offense, Ja Morant leads the Grizzlies in scoring at 28.45 points per game, placing him 10th in the NBA. Overall, Morant has hit 46.4% of his shots while accounting for 23.0% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 4th in points allowed to point-guards. At 17.5 points per game, Dillon Brooks is the 2nd leading scorer for the Grizzlies. For the season, he is 256th in the league in player efficiency rating, while posting an effective field goal percentage of 15.24.

Heat vs Grizzlies Pick

  • Free Spread Prediction: Heat +2
  • Free Total Prediction: Over 226.5

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