Check out our free Heat vs Hawks pick and preview for this NBA game in Atlanta. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.

Heat vs Hawks NBA Pick & Preview

  • Sport: NBA
  • Teams: Miami Heat at Atlanta Hawks
  • Where: Atlanta at State Farm Arena
  • Date: Monday, January 16th
  • Betting Odds ATL +1.5, MIA -121 | ATL +100 O/U 223.5

So far, the Heat have put together an overall record of 24-20, while going 18-24-2 vs the spread. Miami will be going for their 4 straight win in today’s game as they have rattled off 3 straight wins.

In their previous game, the Heat took down the Bucks by a score of 111-95. Not only did they come away with a straight up win, but they also covered the spread as 4 point favorites. Miami put together a strong second half, as they only held a 8 point lead going into halftime. In the win, Gabe Vincent led the team in scoring with 27 points on a field goal percentage of 78.6%.

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The Hawks come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 21-22. So far, the team has gone 17-25-1 against the spread. Against the Heat, the Hawks are looking to add to their current 2 game winning streak. The average margin of victory across these matchups is 6.5.

The Hawks are coming off a 114-103 win over the Raptors. This win came despite entering the game as the 7 point underdogs. Atlanta went on to win the game, as they led by 12 heading into halftime. In the win, Trae Young led the team in scoring with 29 points on a field goal percentage of 52.9%.

Head To Head Recap & Stats

I Similar to their season-long average, the Heat averaged 115.0 points per game vs the Hawks. While the Heat were able to maintain their usual level of production against Atlanta, the Hawks averaged fewer points per game in the series, at 107.0. Over the last 5 head to head meetings, the Heat have averaged 107 points per game compared to 98 for Atlanta. This has led to an ATS record of 3-2 for Miami. A combined average of 205 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 0-5.

Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game

The Heat come into today’s game as the 30th ranked scoring offense at 108.8 points per game. Coming into today’s game, the Heat will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 12.2 made 3’s per game. Not only is the Miami offense struggling with their outside shot, but they are also getting to the charity stripe at a below average rate. So far, they are the 19th ranked team in made free-throws per contest.

So far, the Heat have played well defensively, as they are ranked 4th in the league at 105.57 points per contest.

This season, the Heat offense has primarily worked through Bam Adebayo and Tyler Herro who are 1st and 2nd on the team in scoring. In his 39 games, Adebayo is 36th in the NBA at 21.5 points per game. So far, him and Herro have accounted for 38% of the team’s field goal attempts while combining to average 42.7 points per contest. In addition to sitting 2nd on the team in scoring, Tyler Herro is grabbing 6.0 rebounds for Miami to go along with 4.4 assists.

The Atlanta offense will take the floor in today’s game with the league’s 11th ranked offense at 114.9 points per game. In terms of pace, the Hawks are on the top units in the NBA, averaging 101.6 possessions per game. Even though the unit has one of the lower effective field goal percentages in the NBA at 52.5%. Their up-tempo style of play has given them enough opportunites to make up for their poor shooting numbers.

Against the Heat, the Hawks will need a stronger defensive effort as they are ranked just 21st in points allowed.

On offense, Trae Young leads the Hawks in scoring at 27.5 points per game, placing him 11th in the NBA. Overall, Young has hit 42.3% of his shots while accounting for 22.2% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 11th in points allowed to point-guards. At 20.2 points per game, Dejounte Murray is the 2nd leading scorer for the Hawks. For the season, he is 103rd in the league in player efficiency rating, while posting a field goal percentage of 44.5%.

Heat vs Hawks Pick

  • Free Spread Prediction: Hawks +1.5
  • Free Total Prediction: Over 223.5

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