Check out our free Heat vs Hornets pick and preview for this NBA game in Charlotte. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Heat vs Hornets NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets
- Where: Charlotte at Spectrum Center
- Date: Sunday, January 29th
- Betting Odds CHA +6, MIA -241 | CHA +196 O/U 222.0
So far, the Heat have put together an overall record of 28-22, while going 20-28-2 vs the spread. Across the Heat 3 game win streak, they have an average scoring margin of 4.0 points per game.
The Heat are coming off a 110-105 win over the Magic. Although they came away with a straight up win, it was not enough to cover the spread as they entered as 9 point favorites. Miami pulled out the win despite trailing by 9 going into halftime. The team did not put a dent in this deficit in the 3rd quarter, but put together a strong comeback effort in the 4th. Leading the team in scoring was Jimmy Butler, as he contributed 29 points while hitting 58.8% of his shots.
The Hornets come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 14-36. So far, the team has gone 20-26-4 against the spread. Looking back on Hornets’ previous 3 games, they have a record of 1-2 while averaging 103 points per game. Over this stretch, their ATS mark is 1-2.
Charlotte is going for yet another win, as they previously defeated the Bulls at home. With the 111-96 victory, they also covered the spread as 3 point underdogs. Charlotte was able to come home with the win due to strong 2nd half effort. Heading into the 2nd half, the team faced a 8 point deficit. Leading the team in scoring was Terry Rozier, as he contributed 28 points while hitting 47.4% of his shots.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
I In last year’s head-to-head meetings, the Heat averaged 118.25 points per game vs Charlotte, which was an increase over their season-long average. However, the Hornets actually averaged fewer points per game than their season-long mark. Across their head-to-head matchups with Miami, the team averaged 101.75 points per game. In terms of betting, Miami has an ATS record of 3-2 in the previous 5 matchups vs Charlotte. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +14 points per game in favor of the Heat. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 3-2. Combined, they averaged 228 points in these games.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
The Heat come into today’s game as the 30th ranked scoring offense at 108.5 points per game. So far, the Heat are averaging 96.9 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. If the Heat offense is going to turn things around, they will need to either generate more possessions or improve their overall efficiency. Currently, they are just 27th ranked team in 3-point shooting percentage.
On the defensive end of the floor, the Heat are giving up an average of 105.57 points per game, good for 4th in the NBA.
This season, the Heat offense has primarily worked through Bam Adebayo and Tyler Herro who are 1st and 2nd on the team in scoring. In his 45 games, Adebayo is 38th in the NBA at 21.5 points per game. So far, him and Herro have accounted for 38% of the team’s field goal attempts while combining to average 41.7 points per contest. In addition to sitting 2nd on the team in scoring, Tyler Herro is grabbing 5.8 rebounds for Miami to go along with 4.4 assists.
For the season, the Hornets offensive unit is ranked just 25th in scoring at 112.0 points per contest. Coming into today’s game, the Hornets will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 10.7 made 3’s per game. If the Charlotte offense is going to improve, they must continue to do a good job avoiding turnovers. Currently, the unit is 9th in fewest turnovers per game.
Against the Heat, the Hornets will need a stronger defensive effort as they are ranked just 25th in points allowed.
Point-Guard Terry Rozier currently leads the Hornets at 21.5 points per game. For the season, he is 49th in the NBA in usage rate and has taken 21.1% of the team’s field goal attempts. In addition to his scoring, Rozier is averaging 4.2 boards and 5.1 assists per contest. In today’s game, he is facing off against the NBA’s 9th ranked defense at defending point-guards. P.J. Washington enters the game sitting second on the team in scoring. Through 49 games, he is averaging 14.9 and is 244th in the league in player efficiency rating.
Heat vs Hornets Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Hornets +6
- Free Total Prediction: Under 222.0