Check out our free Heat vs Magic pick and preview for this NBA game in Orlando. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Heat vs Magic NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Miami Heat at Orlando Magic
- Where: Orlando at Amway Center
- Date: Saturday, February 11th
- Betting Odds ORL +1.5, MIA -124 | ORL +102 O/U nan
The Heat come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 31-25. So far, the team has gone 21-33-2 against the spread. Miami has posted an average scoring differential of 3.5 points per game across their currrent 2 game win streak.
Miami is going for another win in today’s game, as they previously took down the Rockets. Going into the game, they were 11 point favorites against the spread. Their 97-95 victory was not enough to cover. This was a highly contested matchup, as Miami was not able to extend their lead in the second half as they went into halftime with a 2 point lead. In the win, Tyler Herro led the team in scoring with 31 points on a field goal percentage of 55.0%.
So far, the Magic have put together an overall record of 23-33, while going 32-23-1 vs the spread. Across the team’s previous 3 games, they have gone 2-1 straight-up and 2-1 vs the spread.
The Magic are coming off a 115-104 win over the Nuggets. This win came despite entering the game as the 5 point underdogs. Orlando went on to win the game, as they led by 10 heading into halftime. Leading the team in scoring was Wendell Carter Jr., as he contributed 19 points while hitting 63.6% of his shots.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
In the most recent game between the two teams, the Heat picked up a 110-105 win over the Magic. However, heading into the game, Miami was favored to win by 9.0 points, giving the Magic and ATS victory. This has been the only matchup between the two teams this season. Similar to their season-long average, the Heat averaged 106.5 points per game vs the Magic. Just like the Heat, the Magic maintained their usual level of scoring in head-to-head matchups, averaging 100.75 points per game vs Miami. When looking at how these teams have performed vs the spread in recent matchups, the Magic have an ATS mark of 3-2. Yet, the Heat have averaged more points per game in these contests, at 107 compared to Orlando at 107. Over the course of these games, they averaged 208 points per game, leading a 2-3 over-under record.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
Through 56 games, the Heat are averaging 108.4 points per contest, placing them 30th in the NBA. Coming into today’s game, the Heat will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 11.7 made 3’s per game. If Miami continues to struggle with their outside shot, they may look to start playing with more pace, as they are currently 28th in the league in possessions per game.
Against the Magic, the Heat will look to continue their strong defensive play. For the year, they are the 4th ranked unit at 105.57 points per game.
On offense, Bam Adebayo leads the Heat in scoring at 21.8 points per game, placing him 37th in the NBA. Overall, Adebayo has hit 54.7% of his shots while accounting for 18.3% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 20th in points allowed to centers. At 20.5 points per game, Tyler Herro is the 2nd leading scorer for the Heat. For the season, he is 130th in the league in player efficiency rating, while posting a field goal percentage of 43.7%.
This season, the Orlando offense has had their problems scoring the ball as they are a below average unit at 111.2 points per game. So far, the Magic are averaging 98.7 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. A key aspect of the team’s offensive struggles is the fact that they not only play at a slow pace, but they struggle to score inside. Heading into today’s game, Orlando is just 16th in shots made inside the arc.
Against the Heat, the Magic will need a stronger defensive effort as they are ranked just 20th in points allowed.
On offense, Franz Wagner leads the Magic in scoring at 19.3 points per game, placing him 61st in the NBA. Overall, Wagner has hit 48.6% of his shots while accounting for 17.0% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 6th in points allowed to small-forwards. At 20.0 points per game, Paolo Banchero is the 2nd leading scorer for the Magic. For the season, he is 151st in the league in player efficiency rating, while posting a field goal percentage of 42.0%.
Heat vs Magic Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Heat -1.5
- Free Total Prediction: Over nan