Check out our free Heat vs Pistons pick and preview for this NBA game in Detroit. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.

Heat vs Pistons NBA Pick & Preview

  • Sport: NBA
  • Teams: Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons
  • Where: Detroit at Little Caesars Arena
  • Date: Sunday, March 19th
  • Betting Odds DET +9.5, MIA -466 | DET +350 O/U OFF

The Heat come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 38-34. So far, the team has gone 26-44-2 against the spread. In the teams past 3 games, their overall mark sits at 2-1. Miami is 1-2 vs the spread in these matchups.

In their previous game, the Heat were favored to win vs the Bulls. However, their 113-99 loss, gave them both a straight up and ATS loss. Miami got off to a slow start, trailing by 25 points going into halftime. Leading the team in scoring was Jimmy Butler, as he contributed 24 points while hitting 61.5% of his shots.

So far, the Pistons have put together an overall record of 16-55, while going 31-39-1 vs the spread. Against the Heat, the Pistons are looking to break out of a 2 game losing streak. These defeats have come on an average scoring differential of -19.5 points per contest.

Detroit is trying to bounce back from a 119-100 loss to the Nuggets. Going into this game, the team was 15 point underdogs on the spread, giving them an ATS loss. Detroit went on to lose the game despite leading by 6 heading into halftime. In the loss, Rodney McGruder led the team in scoring with 20 points on a field goal percentage of 46.7%.

Head To Head Recap & Stats

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Pistons picked up the win 116-96 win over the Heat. Heading into the game, Detroit was the 7.5 point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. This has been the only matchup between the two teams this season. Last year, the Heat saw a drop in overall scoring when playing the Pistons, averaging 102.5 points per game. While the Heat struggled on offense in the series, the Pistons maintained their usual level of scoring at 100.5 vs Miami. Through the last 5 matchups between the teams, Detroit has an ATS mark of 5-0. But, looking at the scoring margin in these games, an average of just 2 points per game separates the teams. In these contests, they averaged a combined 204 points per game, leading to an over-under mark of 1-4.

Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game

Through 72 games, the Heat are averaging 109.0 points per contest, placing them 30th in the NBA. Coming into today’s game, the Heat will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 11.7 made 3’s per game. If the Miami offense is going to improve, they must continue to do a good job avoiding turnovers. Currently, the unit is 9th in fewest turnovers per game.

Defensively, the Heat are one of the top performing units in the league, giving up 105.57 points per contest (4th).

Center Bam Adebayo currently leads the Heat at 21.0 points per game. For the season, he is 72nd in the NBA in usage rate and has taken 17.9% of the team’s field goal attempts. In addition to his scoring, Adebayo is averaging 9.3 boards and 3.3 assists per contest. In today’s game, he is facing off against the NBA’s 23rd ranked defense at defending centers. Jimmy Butler enters the game sitting second on the team in scoring. Through 57 games, he is averaging 22.6 and is 13th in the league in player efficiency rating.

Through 71 games, the Pistons are averaging 111.1 points per contest, placing them 28th in the NBA. Coming into today’s game, the Pistons will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 11.5 made 3’s per game. If Detroit continues to struggle with their outside shot, they may look to start playing with more pace, as they are currently 13th in the league in possessions per game.

Currently, the Pistons defense is ranked 22nd in points allowed. So far, opposing teams are averaging 112.55 points per game vs the unit.

Detroit will be relying on Jaden Ivey to provide a strong scoring performance in today’s game against the Miami. Bojan Bogdanovic has been ruled out. So far this season, Bogdanovic has been the team’s leading scorer with an average of 21.6 points per game. Ivey is 2nd on the team with 15.4 points per game, which places him 88.0th in the NBA. In 63 games, he has hit 41.2% of his field goal attempts and is averaging 3.9 rebounds per game.

Heat vs Pistons Pick

  • Free Spread Prediction: Pistons +9.5
  • Free Total Prediction: Over OFF