Check out our free Heat vs Pistons pick and preview for this NBA game in Detroit. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Heat vs Pistons NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons
- Where: Detroit at Little Caesars Arena
- Date: Tuesday, April 4th
- Betting Odds DET +11.5, MIA -671 | DET +478 O/U nan
The Heat come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 41-37. So far, the team has gone 29-47-2 against the spread. Over the team’s past 3 games, Miami has an overall record of 1-2, including going 1-2 against the spread.
The Heat are coming off a 129-122 win over the Mavericks. This away win came despite entering the game as the 2 point underdogs. Miami only let the Mavericks marginally cut into their 12 point halftime lead. In the win, Jimmy Butler led the team in scoring with 35 points on a field goal percentage of 75.0%.
So far, the Pistons have put together an overall record of 16-62, while going 33-43-2 vs the spread. Detroit will take the court having lost 9 straight games. On average, they have lost these games by -15.11 points per game.
Not only did the Pistons drop their last game to the Magic. But they also picked up an ATS loss, as they fell by a score of 128-102 as 11 point underdogs. In the defeat, Detroit did not outscore the Magic in a single quarter. In the loss, Killian Hayes led the team in scoring with 20 points on a field goal percentage of 50.0%.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Pistons picked up the win 116-96 win over the Heat. Heading into the game, Detroit was the 7.5 point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. So far, the two team’s have split their season series, with each team at 1-1. Last year, the Heat saw a drop in overall scoring when playing the Pistons, averaging 102.5 points per game. While the Heat struggled on offense in the series, the Pistons maintained their usual level of scoring at 100.5 vs Miami. Spanning across the last 5 head-to-head matchups, the Heat and Pistons have been competitive, with an average margin of victory sitting at just -2 points per game. This has resulted in a 4-1 ATS record for Detroit. In these contests, they averaged a combined 208 points per game, leading to an over-under mark of 1-4.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
The Heat come into today’s game as the 30th ranked scoring offense at 109.0 points per game. When looking at the team’s pace of play, the Heat are currently below the league average in possessions per game, averaging just 96.1 per contest. This deliberate style of basketball has played a role in the unit ranking just 30th in made shots per game.
On the defensive end of the floor, the Heat are giving up an average of 105.57 points per game, good for 4th in the NBA.
One situation to keep an eye on leading up the game is the availability of Bam Adebayo, as he is currently questionable on the injury report. If he is able to play, the team will have it’s 1-2 punch availble as Adebayo leads the team in scoring at 20.7 points per game while Butler is 2nd at 22.8. For the season, Adebayo is 73rd in the NBA in usage rate and 60th in player efficiency. Behind him, Butler has taken 16.4% of the team’s field goal attempts, connecting at a rate of 53.4%.
For the season, the Pistons offensive unit is ranked just 28th in scoring at 110.6 points per contest. Coming into today’s game, the Pistons will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 11.4 made 3’s per game. If the Detroit offense is going to turn things around, not only do they need to improve their outside shooting but they must do a better job protecting the ball. Currently, they are averaging 14.4 turnovers per game.
Currently, the Pistons defense is ranked 22nd in points allowed. So far, opposing teams are averaging 112.55 points per game vs the unit.
Jaden Ivey is expected to play a key role in Detroit’s scoring efforts against the Miami today, as Bojan Bogdanovic is unavailable. Bogdanovic is the team’s leading scorer this season with 21.6 points per game. Ivey is 2nd in scoring for the team with 15.8 points per game, which ranks him 83.0th in the NBA. In his 70 games, he has hit 41.2% of his field goal attempts and is grabbing 3.9 rebounds per game.
Heat vs Pistons Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Heat -11.5
- Free Total Prediction: Over nan