Check out our free Heat vs Raptors pick and preview for this NBA game in Toronto. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Heat vs Raptors NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors
- Where: Toronto at Scotiabank Arena
- Date: Tuesday, March 28th
- Betting Odds TOR -3, MIA +127 | TOR -152 O/U 219.5
The Heat come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 40-35. So far, the team has gone 28-45-2 against the spread. Across the team’s previous 3 games, they have gone 2-1 straight-up and 2-1 vs the spread.
The Heat are coming off a disappointing 129-100 loss to the Nets. Going into the game, they were favored to win by 6 points. Miami missed out on an opportunity to add a win to their resume, as they held a 4 point lead going into halftime. In the loss, Tyler Herro led the team in scoring with 23 points on a field goal percentage of 56.2%.
The Raptors come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 37-38. So far, the team has gone 38-36-1 against the spread. Against the Heat, the Raptors are looking to add to their current 2 game winning streak. The average margin of victory across these matchups is 15.5.
The Raptors will look to keep things rolling, as they previously beat the Wizards by a score of 114-104. Heading into the game, they were 9 point favorites against the spread, giving them an ATS win. Toronto was able to take care of business in the second half of this game, as they didn’t allow the Wizards to cut into their 17 point halftime lead. Leading the team in scoring was OG Anunoby, as he contributed 29 points while hitting 52.4% of his shots.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
In the most recent game between the two teams, the Heat picked up a 112-109 win over the Raptors. However, heading into the game, Miami was favored to win by 3.5 points, giving the Raptors and ATS victory. So far this season, the Raptors have a record of 2-1 vs the Heat. Similar to their season-long average, the Heat averaged 111.0 points per game vs the Raptors. Just like the Heat, the Raptors maintained their usual level of scoring in head-to-head matchups, averaging 110.5 points per game vs Miami. Spanning across the last 5 head-to-head matchups, the Heat and Raptors have been competitive, with an average margin of victory sitting at just -2 points per game. This has resulted in a 4-1 ATS record for Toronto. In these contests, they averaged a combined 212 points per game, leading to an over-under mark of 3-1-1.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
Through 75 games, Miami is averaging 109.1 points per game (30th). Coming into today’s game, the Heat will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 11.7 made 3’s per game. One area of the team’s offense that has been effective is their ability to get to the free-throw line. So far, they are ranked 8th, with an average of 19.4 made free-throws per game.
So far, the Heat have played well defensively, as they are ranked 4th in the league at 105.57 points per contest.
This season, the Heat offense has primarily worked through Bam Adebayo and Jimmy Butler who are 1st and 2nd on the team in scoring. In his 70 games, Adebayo is 45th in the NBA at 20.9 points per game. So far, him and Butler have accounted for 34% of the team’s field goal attempts while combining to average 43.7 points per contest. In addition to sitting 2nd on the team in scoring, Jimmy Butler is grabbing 6.0 rebounds for Miami to go along with 5.1 assists.
Through 75 games, the Raptors are averaging 113.0 points per contest, placing them 22nd in the NBA. Coming into today’s game, the Raptors will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 10.9 made 3’s per game. If Toronto continues to struggle with their outside shot, they may look to start playing with more pace, as they are currently 26th in the league in possessions per game.
So far, the Raptors have played well defensively, as they are ranked 7th in the league at 107.1 points per contest.
Power-Foward Pascal Siakam currently leads the Raptors at 24.2 points per game. For the season, he is 45th in the NBA in usage rate and has taken 20.3% of the team’s field goal attempts. In addition to his scoring, Siakam is averaging 7.8 boards and 5.9 assists per contest. In today’s game, he is facing off against the NBA’s 14th ranked defense at defending power-fowards. Fred VanVleet enters the game sitting second on the team in scoring. Through 63 games, he is averaging 19.8 and is 109th in the league in player efficiency rating.
Heat vs Raptors Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Heat +3
- Free Total Prediction: Under 219.5