Check out our free Heat vs Suns pick and preview for this NBA game in Phoenix. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Heat vs Suns NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Miami Heat at Phoenix Suns
- Where: Phoenix at Footprint Center
- Date: Friday, January 6th
- Betting Odds PHO +1.5, MIA -123 | PHO +101 O/U 217.0
The Heat come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 20-19. So far, the team has gone 15-23-1 against the spread. Over the team’s past 3 games, Miami has an overall record of 2-1, including going 2-1 against the spread.
In their previous game, the Heat were favored to win vs the Lakers. However, their 112-109 loss, gave them both a straight up and ATS loss. Miami was not able to turn things around in the 2nd half, as they trailed the Lakers by 3 going into halftime. In the loss, Bam Adebayo led the team in scoring with 30 points on a field goal percentage of 56.5%.
The Suns come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 20-19. So far, the team has gone 19-18-2 against the spread. Against the Heat, the Suns are looking to break out of a 4 game losing streak. These defeats have come on an average scoring differential of -13.75 points per contest.
Phoenix will be gunning to get in the win column vs Miami, as they previously lost to the Cavaliers by a score of 90-88. However, because they entered as 5 point underdogs, they came away with an ATS win. Phoenix went on to lose the game despite leading by 10 heading into halftime. In the loss, Chris Paul led the team in scoring with 25 points on a field goal percentage of 52.9%.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
I Similar to their season-long average, the Heat averaged 106.5 points per game vs the Suns. While the Heat were able to maintain their usual level of production against Phoenix, the Suns averaged fewer points per game in the series, at 105.5. In terms of betting, Phoenix has an ATS record of 4-1 in the previous 5 matchups vs Miami. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +5 points per game in favor of the Suns. Miami and Phoenix averaged a combined 209 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
This season, the Miami offense is ranked 30th in the NBA in scoring at 109.0 points per game. The Heat come into the game as one of the league’s better 3-point shooting teams, connecting at a rate of 12.4 made 3’s per game. If the Miami offense is going to improve, they would benefit from attacking the basket and generating looks at the line. So far, they are ranked just 22nd in made free-throws per game.
Against the Suns, the Heat will look to continue their strong defensive play. For the year, they are the 4th ranked unit at 105.57 points per game.
Center Bam Adebayo currently leads the Heat at 21.8 points per game. For the season, he is 51st in the NBA in usage rate and has taken 18.3% of the team’s field goal attempts. In addition to his scoring, Adebayo is averaging 9.9 boards and 3.2 assists per contest. In today’s game, he is facing off against the NBA’s 16th ranked defense at defending centers. Tyler Herro enters the game sitting second on the team in scoring. Through 31 games, he is averaging 21.1 and is 99th in the league in player efficiency rating.
For the season, the Suns offensive unit is ranked just 16th in scoring at 113.5 points per contest. The Suns come into the game as one of the league’s better 3-point shooting teams, connecting at a rate of 13.1 made 3’s per game. If the Phoenix offense is going to improve, they would benefit from attacking the basket and generating looks at the line. So far, they are ranked just 28th in made free-throws per game.
On the defensive end of the floor, the Suns are giving up an average of 107.33 points per game, good for 9th in the NBA.
Phoenix will be counting Deandre Ayton to put together a strong scoring performance vs the Miami, as Devin Booker has been ruled out for today’s game. So far, Booker leads the team in scoring at 27.1 points per game. Ayton is 2nd on the team at 17.4 points per contest, which sits 70.0th in the NBA. In his 35 games, he has hit 60.4% of his field goal attempts, and is grabbing 9.7 rebounds per game.
Heat vs Suns Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Suns +1.5
- Free Total Prediction: Under 217.0
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