Check out our free Kings vs Mavericks pick and preview for this NBA game in Dallas. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Kings vs Mavericks NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Sacramento Kings at Dallas Mavericks
- Where: Dallas at American Airlines Center
- Date: Wednesday, April 5th
- Betting Odds DAL -5.5, SAC +180 | DAL -219 O/U 244.5
The Kings come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 48-31. So far, the team has gone 43-35-1 against the spread. In the teams past 3 games, their overall mark sits at 2-1. Sacramento is 2-1 vs the spread in these matchups.
Sacramento is going for yet another win, as they previously defeated the Pelicans. With the 121-103 victory, they also covered the spread as 4 point underdogs. Sacramento was able to maintain control throughout the game, as they outscored the Pelicans in each quarter. Leading the team in scoring was De’Aaron Fox, as he contributed 23 points while hitting 43.5% of his shots.
The Mavericks come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 37-42. So far, the team has gone 31-46-2 against the spread. Dallas will take the court having lost 3 straight games. On average, they have lost these games by -5.67 points per game.
The Mavericks will be looking to bounce back from a 132-130 loss to the Hawks. In terms of betting, Dallas entered as 3 point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. Dallas was not able to make a comeback in this matchup, as they went into the half down by 4. Leading the team in scoring was Kyrie Irving, as he contributed 41 points while hitting 59.3% of his shots.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Mavericks picked up the win 122-114 win over the Kings. Heading into the game, Dallas was the 4.5 point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. So far, the two team’s have split their season series, with each team at 1-1. Last year, the Kings saw a drop in overall scoring when playing the Mavericks, averaging 100.75 points per game. While the Kings struggled on offense in the series, the Mavericks maintained their usual level of scoring at 106.25 vs Sacramento. Across the last 5 matchups between the teams, Sacramento has gone 3-2 vs the spread. However, the Mavericks actually have a positive scoring margin in these games at +4 points per game. The over-under record in these same games is 3-2, with the teams combining for an average of 224 points per game.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
The Sacramento offense will take the floor in today’s game with the league’s 1st ranked offense at 121.4 points per game. The Kings come into the game as one of the league’s better 3-point shooting teams, connecting at a rate of 13.8 made 3’s per game. In addition to their strong outside shooting numbers, the team is playing at one of the fastest paces in the NBA, averaging 100.8 possessions per contest.
Currently, the Kings defense is ranked 29th in points allowed. So far, opposing teams are averaging 115.77 points per game vs the unit.
This season, the Kings offense has primarily worked through De’Aaron Fox and Domantas Sabonis who are 1st and 2nd on the team in scoring. In his 71 games, Fox is 20th in the NBA at 25.1 points per game. So far, him and Sabonis have accounted for 34% of the team’s field goal attempts while combining to average 44.3 points per contest. In addition to sitting 2nd on the team in scoring, Domantas Sabonis is grabbing 12.4 rebounds for Sacramento to go along with 7.2 assists.
This season, the Dallas offense has had their problems scoring the ball as they are a below average unit at 114.1 points per game. When looking at the team’s pace of play, the Mavericks are currently below the league average in possessions per game, averaging just 97.0 per contest. A key aspect of the team’s offensive struggles is the fact that they not only play at a slow pace, but they struggle to score inside. Heading into today’s game, Dallas is just 30th in shots made inside the arc.
On the defensive end of the floor, the Mavericks are giving up an average of 104.72 points per game, good for 2nd in the NBA.
On offense, Luka Doncic leads the Mavericks in scoring at 32.8 points per game, placing him 2nd in the NBA. Overall, Doncic has hit 49.8% of his shots while accounting for 26.5% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 4th in points allowed to point-guards. At 27.0 points per game, Kyrie Irving is the 2nd leading scorer for the Mavericks. For the season, he is 31st in the league in player efficiency rating, while posting a field goal percentage of 49.3%.
Kings vs Mavericks Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Mavericks -5.5
- Free Total Prediction: Under 244.5
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