Check out our free Kings vs Pelicans pick and preview for this NBA game in New Orleans. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Kings vs Pelicans NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Sacramento Kings at New Orleans Pelicans
- Where: New Orleans at Smoothie King Center
- Date: Tuesday, April 4th
- Betting Odds NO -3, SAC +127 | NO -153 O/U 237.5
So far, the Kings have put together an overall record of 47-31, while going 42-35-1 vs the spread. Across the team’s previous 3 games, they have gone 2-1 straight-up and 2-1 vs the spread.
The Kings are coming off a disappointing 142-134 loss to the Spurs. Going into the game, they were favored to win by 17 points. Sacramento was not able to turn things around in the 2nd half, as they trailed the Spurs by 8 going into halftime. Leading the team in scoring was De’Aaron Fox, as he contributed 28 points while hitting 43.5% of his shots.
So far, the Pelicans have put together an overall record of 40-38, while going 38-40-0 vs the spread. The Pelicans entered today’s game having picked up 2 straight wins. This has come on an average scoring differential of 13.5 points per game.
In their previous game, the Pelicans took down the Clippers by a score of 122-114. Not only did they come away with a straight up win, but they also covered the spread as 4 point favorites. Although New Orleans trailed the Clippers going into halftime, by the end of the 3rd quarter they had taken the lead. Leading the team in scoring was Brandon Ingram, as he contributed 36 points while hitting 56.5% of his shots.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Pelicans picked up the win 136-104 win over the Kings. Heading into the game, New Orleans was the 2.0 point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. So far, the two team’s have split their season series, with each team at 1-1. Similar to their season-long average, the Kings averaged 107.25 points per game vs the Pelicans. Just like the Kings, the Pelicans maintained their usual level of scoring in head-to-head matchups, averaging 114.0 points per game vs Sacramento. The ATS record across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings is 3-2 in favor of the Pelicans. In these matchups, New Orleans has averaged 118 points per game, while allowing 108. Sacramento and New Orleans averaged a combined 226 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
Heading into play, the Kings offense is rated 1st in the league in scoring, averaging 121.4 points per contest. The Kings come into the game as one of the league’s better 3-point shooting teams, connecting at a rate of 13.8 made 3’s per game. One area that the Sacramento offense will continue to rely on is their ability to get to the free-throw line. So far, they are the 3rd ranked unit in made free-throw per game.
Defensively, Sacramento has had its problems giving up an average of 115.77 points per game (29th).
Point-Guard De’Aaron Fox currently leads the Kings at 25.2 points per game. For the season, he is 23rd in the NBA in usage rate and has taken 20.7% of the team’s field goal attempts. In addition to his scoring, Fox is averaging 4.2 boards and 6.1 assists per contest. In today’s game, he is facing off against the NBA’s 10th ranked defense at defending point-guards. Domantas Sabonis enters the game sitting second on the team in scoring. Through 76 games, he is averaging 19.2 and is 21st in the league in player efficiency rating.
This season, the New Orleans offense has had their problems scoring the ball as they are a below average unit at 114.3 points per game. Coming into today’s game, the Pelicans will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 11.0 made 3’s per game. If New Orleans continues to struggle with their outside shot, they may look to start playing with more pace, as they are currently 16th in the league in possessions per game.
Against the Kings, the Pelicans will need a stronger defensive effort as they are ranked just 13th in points allowed.
This season, the Pelicans offense has primarily worked through CJ McCollum and Jonas Valanciunas who are 1st and 2nd on the team in scoring. In his 71 games, McCollum is 45th in the NBA at 20.8 points per game. So far, him and Valanciunas have accounted for 32% of the team’s field goal attempts while combining to average 35.2 points per contest. In addition to sitting 2nd on the team in scoring, Jonas Valanciunas is grabbing 10.1 rebounds for New Orleans to go along with 1.8 assists.
Kings vs Pelicans Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Kings +3
- Free Total Prediction: Over 237.5