Check out our free Lakers vs Heat pick and preview for this NBA game in Miami. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Lakers vs Heat NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Los Angeles Lakers at Miami Heat
- Where: Miami at FTX Arena
- Date: Wednesday, December 28th
- Betting Odds MIA -7, LAL +236 | MIA -296 O/U OFF
So far, the Lakers have put together an overall record of 14-20, while going 13-19-2 vs the spread. Across the team’s previous 3 games, they have gone 1-2 straight-up and 1-2 vs the spread.
The Lakers are coming off a 129-110 win over the Magic. This away win came despite entering the game as the 3 point underdogs. Los Angeles was able to take care of business in the second half of this game, as they didn’t allow the Magic to cut into their 10 point halftime lead. In the win, LeBron James led the team in scoring with 28 points on a field goal percentage of 50.0%.
The Heat come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 17-17. So far, the team has gone 12-21-1 against the spread. Over the team’s past 3 games, Miami has an overall record of 1-2, including going 1-2 against the spread.
In their previous game, the Heat took down the Timberwolves by a score of 113-110. Not only did they come away with a straight up win, but they also covered the spread as 0 point favorites. This was a highly contested matchup, as Miami was not able to extend their lead in the second half as they went into halftime with a 3 point lead. In the win, Max Strus led the team in scoring with 19 points on a field goal percentage of 58.3%.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
Going back to last season, the Lakers and Heat split their season series, with each team picking up a win at home. The average point total across the two games was 230.5 points. Similar to their season-long average, the Lakers averaged 113.5 points per game vs the Heat. Similar to the Lakers, the Heat scored at a rate near the league average. In their games vs Los Angeles, the team averaged 115.0 points per game. The level of competition has been tight in the 5 most recent games between Lakers and Heat with just 1 points per game separating the teams. Los Angeles has the ATS edge in this span at 3-2. Los Angeles and Miami averaged a combined 211 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 3-2.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
The Los Angeles offense will take the floor in today’s game with the league’s 6th ranked offense at 116.1 points per game. When looking at the Lakers pace of play, they tend to play an up-tempo style of basketball. So far, the team is in the upper half of the NBA in possessions per game, averaging 102.4. Not only is the team playing at an up-tempo pace, but they have been able to pair this style with one of the better field goal percentages in the NBA at 48.0%.
Currently, the Lakers defense is ranked 28th in points allowed. So far, opposing teams are averaging 115.15 points per game vs the unit.
Smart bettors will be keeping a close eye on the injury report for this matchup, as Lakers are in jeporady of not having two of their top scorers availble vs the Heat. Right now, Anthony Davis is already listed as out, while LeBron James is questionable. For the season, Anthony Davis is 2nd on the team in scoring and 11.0th in the league at 27.4 points per game. As long as he is able to play, LeBron James will look to be even more assertive on offense. In his 26 games, he has accounted for 24.8% of the team’s field goal attempts and is 10th in the NBA in usage rate. Overall, he is averaging 27.8 points per game for Los Angeles.
For the season, the Heat offensive unit is ranked just 30th in scoring at 108.1 points per contest. When looking at the team’s pace of play, the Heat are currently below the league average in possessions per game, averaging just 97.4 per contest. Not only is the team one of the more deliberate units in the NBA, they have yet to find their shooting stroke, ranking just 27th in the league in field goal percentage 45.2%.
Against the Lakers, the Heat will look to continue their strong defensive play. For the year, they are the 4th ranked unit at 105.57 points per game.
One situation to keep an eye on leading up the game is the availability of Bam Adebayo, as he is currently questionable on the injury report. If he is able to play, the team will have it’s 1-2 punch availble as Adebayo leads the team in scoring at 20.8 points per game while Herro is 2nd at 21.1. For the season, Adebayo is 54th in the NBA in usage rate and 73rd in player efficiency. Behind him, Herro has taken 19.3% of the team’s field goal attempts, connecting at a rate of 45.2%.
Lakers vs Heat Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Heat -7
- Free Total Prediction: Over OFF
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