Check out our free Magic vs Heat pick and preview for this NBA game in Miami. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.

Magic vs Heat NBA Pick & Preview

  • Sport: NBA
  • Teams: Orlando Magic at Miami Heat
  • Where: Miami at Miami-Dade Arena
  • Date: Friday, January 27th
  • Betting Odds MIA -7.5, ORL +243 | MIA -304 O/U OFF

So far, the Magic have put together an overall record of 19-29, while going 27-20-1 vs the spread. Orlando comes into the game having rattled off 2 straight wins. In these games, they have an average scoring differential of 10.5 points.

In their previous game, the Magic took down the Pacers by a score of 126-120. Not only did they come away with a straight up win, but they also covered the spread as 5 point favorites. In the game, Orlando was able to hold on to their first half lead, as they led the Pacers by 5 going into the second half. In the win, Paolo Banchero led the team in scoring with 23 points on a field goal percentage of 42.9%.

The Heat come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 27-22. So far, the team has gone 20-27-2 against the spread. In today’s game, Miami will look to extend their 2 game winning streak. Over this stretch, they have an average scoring margin of 3.5 points.

In their previous game, the Heat took down the Celtics by a score of 98-95. Not only did they come away with a straight up win, but they also covered the spread as 2 point favorites. Miami went on to win the game, despite trailing by 8 going into halftime. Leading the team in scoring was Bam Adebayo, as he contributed 30 points while hitting 54.5% of his shots.

Head To Head Recap & Stats

In last year’s regular season games with the Heat as the home team, Miami went 2-0. Overall, they posted a mark of 3-1 against the Magic. Similar to their season-long average, the Magic averaged 100.75 points per game vs the Heat. Just like the Magic, the Heat maintained their usual level of scoring in head-to-head matchups, averaging 106.5 points per game vs Orlando. Although the Magic have the better ATS mark across the previous 5 head-head matchups at 3-2, the average scoring margin sits in favor of Miami, as they averaged 105 points per game while allowing 100. A combined average of 205 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.

Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game

Through 48 games, Orlando is averaging 111.3 points per game (27th). When looking at the team’s pace of play, the Magic are currently below the league average in possessions per game, averaging just 98.7 per contest. If the Magic offense is going to turn things around, they will need to either generate more possessions or improve their overall efficiency. Currently, they are just 20th ranked team in 3-point shooting percentage.

On defense, the Magic will look for some improved play, as they are currently the 20th ranked unit in points allowed per game.

On offense, Franz Wagner leads the Magic in scoring at 20.2 points per game, placing him 54th in the NBA. Overall, Wagner has hit 49.2% of his shots while accounting for 17.6% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 6th in points allowed to small-forwards. At 20.8 points per game, Paolo Banchero is the 2nd leading scorer for the Magic. For the season, he is 113rd in the league in player efficiency rating, while posting a field goal percentage of 43.9%.

The Heat come into today’s game as the 30th ranked scoring offense at 108.4 points per game. Coming into today’s game, the Heat will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 11.9 made 3’s per game. If Miami continues to struggle with their outside shot, they may look to start playing with more pace, as they are currently 28th in the league in possessions per game.

On the defensive end of the floor, the Heat are giving up an average of 105.57 points per game, good for 4th in the NBA.

Center Bam Adebayo currently leads the Heat at 21.6 points per game. For the season, he is 55th in the NBA in usage rate and has taken 18.5% of the team’s field goal attempts. In addition to his scoring, Adebayo is averaging 10.2 boards and 3.0 assists per contest. In today’s game, he is facing off against the NBA’s 12th ranked defense at defending centers. Tyler Herro enters the game sitting second on the team in scoring. Through 37 games, he is averaging 20.5 and is 122nd in the league in player efficiency rating.

Magic vs Heat Pick

  • Free Spread Prediction: Magic +7.5
  • Free Total Prediction: Over OFF