Check out our free Mavericks vs Grizzlies pick and preview for this NBA game in Memphis. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Mavericks vs Grizzlies NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Dallas Mavericks at Memphis Grizzlies
- Where: Memphis at FedExForum
- Date: Saturday, March 11th
- Betting Odds MEM -5, DAL +166 | MEM -203 O/U OFF
The Mavericks come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 34-33. So far, the team has gone 24-41-2 against the spread. Over the team’s past 3 games, Dallas has an overall record of 1-2, including going 0-3 against the spread.
The Mavericks are coming off a disappointing 113-106 loss to the Pelicans. Going into the game, they were favored to win by 2 points. Dallas got off to a slow start, trailing by 16 points going into halftime. In the loss, Kyrie Irving led the team in scoring with 27 points on a field goal percentage of 41.7%.
So far, the Grizzlies have put together an overall record of 39-26, while going 31-32-2 vs the spread. Across the team’s previous 3 games, they have gone 1-2 straight-up and 2-1 vs the spread.
The Grizzlies are coming off a 131-110 win over the Warriors. This win came despite entering the game as the 3 point underdogs. Memphis went on to win the game, as they led by 18 heading into halftime. Leading the team in scoring was Tyus Jones, as he contributed 22 points while hitting 47.1% of his shots.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Mavericks picked up the 137-96 win over the Grizzlies. The Mavericks point margin of victory was enough to cover the spread as 5.5 point favorite. This has been the only matchup between the two teams this season. Last year, the Mavericks saw a drop in overall scoring when playing the Grizzlies, averaging 102.5 points per game. Like the Mavericks, the Grizzlies scored at a rate below their season average, finishing with 92.25 points per game vs Dallas. In terms of betting, Dallas has an ATS record of 4-1 in the previous 5 matchups vs Memphis. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +16 points per game in favor of the Mavericks. Dallas and Memphis averaged a combined 202 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 1-4.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
Through 67 games, the Mavericks are averaging 114.0 points per contest, placing them 17th in the NBA. When looking at the team’s pace of play, the Mavericks are currently below the league average in possessions per game, averaging just 96.8 per contest. Even though the Mavericks are one of the more efficient 3-point shooting teams in the NBA at 37.1%, their slower-style of play may be holding back the team’s offense from fully taking off.
On the defensive end of the floor, the Mavericks are giving up an average of 104.72 points per game, good for 2nd in the NBA.
Before making a bet on today’s game, be sure to check the injury reports as Luka Doncic has already been ruled out for the Mavericks. However, Kyrie Irving is questionable and will be a key name to watch. If he is unable to play, Dallas will be without its top two scorers, Doncic and Irving, who average 33.0 and 27.2 points per game, respectively. If Kyrie Irving is able to play, he will face a Memphis defense ranked 2nd in fewest points allowed to point-guards.
Coming into today’s action, Memphis is averaging 115.8 points per contest. This figure places them 10th in the league. Coming into today’s game, the Grizzlies will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 11.5 made 3’s per game. Memphis appears to be a candidate to have some offensive regression as not only are the a below average outside shooting unit, but they are generating free-throws at a rate below the NBA average.
Against the Mavericks, the Grizzlies will look to continue their strong defensive play. For the year, they are the 12th ranked unit at 109.93 points per game.
Memphis will be relying on Desmond Bane to provide a strong scoring performance in today’s game against the Dallas. Ja Morant has been ruled out. So far this season, Morant has been the team’s leading scorer with an average of 27.1 points per game. Bane is 2nd on the team with 21.2 points per game, which places him 43.0th in the NBA. In 43 games, he has hit 46.9% of his field goal attempts and is averaging 5.0 rebounds per game.
Mavericks vs Grizzlies Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Mavericks +5
- Free Total Prediction: Under OFF