Check out our free Mavericks vs Heat pick and preview for this NBA game in Miami. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.

Mavericks vs Heat NBA Pick & Preview

  • Sport: NBA
  • Teams: Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat
  • Where: Miami at Miami-Dade Arena
  • Date: Saturday, April 1st
  • Betting Odds DAL -1.0, DAL -106 | MIA -114 O/U 224.5

So far, the Mavericks have put together an overall record of 37-40, while going 30-45-2 vs the spread. Over the team’s past 3 games, Dallas has an overall record of 1-2, including going 1-2 against the spread.

Not only did the Mavericks drop their last game to the 76ers. But they also picked up an ATS loss, as they fell by a score of 116-108 as 6 point underdogs. Dallas let an opportunity for a win slip away as they held a lead going into the 2nd half of action. In the loss, Luka Doncic led the team in scoring with 24 points on a field goal percentage of 45.0%.

The Heat come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 40-37. So far, the team has gone 28-47-2 against the spread. Miami will take the court having lost 3 straight games. On average, they have lost these games by -17.33 points per game.

Miami is trying to bounce back from a 101-92 loss to the Knicks. Going into this game, the team was 6 point underdogs on the spread, giving them an ATS loss. Miami was not able to turn things around in the 2nd half, as they trailed the Knicks by 9 going into halftime. Leading the team in scoring was Gabe Vincent, as he contributed 21 points while hitting 72.7% of his shots.

Head To Head Recap & Stats

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Mavericks picked up the win 115-90 win over the Heat. Heading into the game, Dallas was the 2.0 point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. This has been the only matchup between the two teams this season. Similar to their season-long average, the Mavericks averaged 108.5 points per game vs the Heat. Similar to the Mavericks, the Heat scored at a rate near the league average. In their games vs Dallas, the team averaged 112.0 points per game. Across the previous 5 meetings between the teams, the Mavericks have an average scoring margin of +8 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 4-1. In these contests, they averaged a combined 212 points per game, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.

Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game

This season, the Dallas offense is ranked 16th in the NBA in scoring at 113.8 points per game. When looking at the team’s pace of play, the Mavericks are currently below the league average in possessions per game, averaging just 96.8 per contest. Even though the Mavericks are one of the more efficient 3-point shooting teams in the NBA at 37.2%, their slower-style of play may be holding back the team’s offense from fully taking off.

Defensively, the Mavericks are one of the top performing units in the league, giving up 104.72 points per contest (2nd).

On offense, Luka Doncic leads the Mavericks in scoring at 32.8 points per game, placing him 2nd in the NBA. Overall, Doncic has hit 49.6% of his shots while accounting for 26.4% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 12th in points allowed to point-guards. At 26.8 points per game, Kyrie Irving is the 2nd leading scorer for the Mavericks. For the season, he is 29th in the league in player efficiency rating, while posting a field goal percentage of 48.9%.

For the season, the Heat offensive unit is ranked just 30th in scoring at 108.7 points per contest. Coming into today’s game, the Heat will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 11.7 made 3’s per game. If Miami continues to struggle with their outside shot, they may look to start playing with more pace, as they are currently 29th in the league in possessions per game.

On the defensive end of the floor, the Heat are giving up an average of 105.57 points per game, good for 4th in the NBA.

One situation to keep an eye on leading up the game is the availability of Bam Adebayo, as he is currently questionable on the injury report. If he is able to play, the team will have it’s 1-2 punch availble as Adebayo leads the team in scoring at 20.7 points per game while Butler is 2nd at 22.6. For the season, Adebayo is 73rd in the NBA in usage rate and 60th in player efficiency. Behind him, Butler has taken 16.3% of the team’s field goal attempts, connecting at a rate of 52.9%.

Mavericks vs Heat Pick

  • Free Spread Prediction: Heat -1
  • Free Total Prediction: Over 224.5