Check out our free Mavericks vs Nuggets pick and preview for this NBA game in Denver. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.

Mavericks vs Nuggets NBA Pick & Preview

  • Sport: NBA
  • Teams: Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets
  • Where: Denver at Ball Arena
  • Date: Tuesday, December 6th
  • Betting Odds DEN -4.5, DAL +156 | DEN -194 O/U 223.0

So far, the Mavericks have put together an overall record of 12-11, while going 7-15-1 vs the spread. Against the Nuggets, the Mavericks are going for their 3rd straight win, posting an average scoring margin of 20.0 points per game in this stretch.

The Mavericks will look to keep things rolling, as they previously beat the Suns by a score of 130-111. Heading into the game, they were 3 point favorites against the spread, giving them an ATS win. Dallas played well enough in the second half to prevent the Suns from making things interesting down the stretch, as they led by 26 going into halftime. In the win, Luka Doncic led the team in scoring with 33 points on a field goal percentage of 60.0%.

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The Nuggets come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 14-9. So far, the team has gone 11-12-0 against the spread. Against the Mavericks, the Nuggets are looking to break out of a 2 game losing streak. These defeats have come on an average scoring differential of -11.5 points per contest.

Not only did the Nuggets drop their last game to the Pelicans. But they also picked up an ATS loss, as they fell by a score of 121-106 as 2 point underdogs. Denver went on to lose the game despite leading by 1 heading into halftime. Leading the team in scoring was Nikola Jokic, as he contributed 32 points while hitting 68.4% of his shots.

Head To Head Recap & Stats

I Last year, the Mavericks saw a drop in overall scoring when playing the Nuggets, averaging 96.33 points per game. Like the Mavericks, the Nuggets scored at a rate below their season average, finishing with 98.67 points per game vs Dallas. Over the last 5 head to head meetings, the Mavericks have averaged 102 points per game compared to 98 for Denver. This has led to an ATS record of 3-2 for Dallas. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 2-3. Combined, they averaged 200 points in these games.

Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game

The Mavericks come into today’s game as the 16th ranked scoring offense at 111.5 points per game. The Mavericks come into the game as one of the league’s better 3-point shooting teams, connecting at a rate of 14.5 made 3’s per game. If the Mavericks offense is going to improve, they could look to play at a faster tempo, as they currently average just 96.5 possession per game. This could benefit the team as they are currently one of the better 3-point shooting units in the NBA.

Against the Nuggets, the Mavericks will look to continue their strong defensive play. For the year, they are the 2nd ranked unit at 104.72 points per game.

On offense, Luka Doncic leads the Mavericks in scoring at 33.4 points per game, placing him 1st in the NBA. Overall, Doncic has hit 51.0% of his shots while accounting for 27.1% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 23rd in points allowed to point-guards. At 16.5 points per game, Spencer Dinwiddie is the 2nd leading scorer for the Mavericks. For the season, he is 122nd in the league in player efficiency rating, while posting a field goal percentage of 45.9%.

The Denver offense will take the floor in today’s game with the league’s 12th ranked offense at 114.7 points per game. The Nuggets come into the game as one of the league’s better 3-point shooting teams, connecting at a rate of 12.3 made 3’s per game. If the Nuggets offense is going to improve, they could look to play at a faster tempo, as they currently average just 98.2 possession per game. This could benefit the team as they are currently one of the better 3-point shooting units in the NBA.

Defensively, Denver has had its problems giving up an average of 110.41 points per game (14th).

On offense, Nikola Jokic leads the Nuggets in scoring at 23.2 points per game, placing him 23rd in the NBA. Overall, Jokic has hit 63.5% of his shots while accounting for 15.9% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 1st in points allowed to centers. At 17.9 points per game, Jamal Murray is the 2nd leading scorer for the Nuggets. For the season, he is 95th in the league in player efficiency rating, while posting a field goal percentage of 44.2%.

Mavericks vs Nuggets Pick

  • Free Spread Prediction: Nuggets -4.5
  • Free Total Prediction: Under 223.0

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