Check out our free Mavericks vs Nuggets pick and preview for this NBA game in Denver. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Mavericks vs Nuggets NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets
- Where: Denver at Ball Arena
- Date: Wednesday, February 15th
- Betting Odds DEN -7, DAL +227 | DEN -279 O/U OFF
So far, the Mavericks have put together an overall record of 31-28, while going 22-35-2 vs the spread. Dallas will take the court having lost 2 straight games. The team has an average scoring margin of -4.0 in these matchups.
The Mavericks are coming off a disappointing 124-121 loss to the Timberwolves. Going into the game, they were favored to win by 6 points. Even though Dallas made a substantial comeback in the 2nd half, it was not enough to make up for their 11 point halftime deficit. Leading the team in scoring was Kyrie Irving, as he contributed 36 points while hitting 65.2% of his shots.
So far, the Nuggets have put together an overall record of 40-18, while going 31-26-1 vs the spread. Against the Mavericks, the Nuggets are looking to add to their current 2 game winning streak. The average margin of victory across these matchups is 9.0.
The Nuggets are coming off a 112-108 win over the Heat. This win came despite entering the game as the 1 point underdogs. This was a highly contested matchup, as Denver was not able to extend their lead in the second half as they went into halftime with a 3 point lead. Leading the team in scoring was Nikola Jokic, as he contributed 27 points while hitting 85.7% of his shots.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Mavericks picked up the 127-99 win over the Nuggets. The Mavericks point margin of victory was enough to cover the spread as 9.5 point favorite. So far this season, the Mavericks have a record of 2-1 vs the Nuggets. Last year, the Mavericks saw a drop in overall scoring when playing the Nuggets, averaging 96.33 points per game. Like the Mavericks, the Nuggets scored at a rate below their season average, finishing with 98.67 points per game vs Dallas. The Mavericks have had the better record vs the spread over the last 5 games, going 4-1. The team’s average scoring margin in these contests sits at 10 points per game. A combined average of 210 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 3-2.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
Through 59 games, the Mavericks are averaging 113.1 points per contest, placing them 21st in the NBA. One area that the Dallas offense is finding success, is their ability to get to the free-throw line. So far, the team is averaging 19.5 made free-throws per contest. Dallas is a strong candidate to see their overall offensive numbers improve, as not only are they a good outside shooting unit, but they do a good job taking care of the ball, ranking 2nd in fewest turnovers per game.
Against the Nuggets, the Mavericks will look to continue their strong defensive play. For the year, they are the 2nd ranked unit at 104.72 points per game.
Point-Guard Luka Doncic currently leads the Mavericks at 33.2 points per game. For the season, he is 4th in the NBA in usage rate and has taken 26.7% of the team’s field goal attempts. In addition to his scoring, Doncic is averaging 8.9 boards and 8.1 assists per contest. In today’s game, he is facing off against the NBA’s 21st ranked defense at defending point-guards. Kyrie Irving enters the game sitting second on the team in scoring. Through 44 games, he is averaging 27.2 and is 36th in the league in player efficiency rating.
The Denver offense will take the floor in today’s game with the league’s 6th ranked offense at 117.1 points per game. When looking at the team’s pace of play, the Nuggets are currently below the league average in possessions per game, averaging just 98.4 per contest. So far, the team’s deliberate style of play has not slowed down the offense, as they have been particularly effective inside the arc, ranking 6th in made 2-point field goals per game.
On defense, the Nuggets will look for some improved play, as they are currently the 14th ranked unit in points allowed per game.
Before getting a bet down on this matchup, be sure to check in on the health status of Jamal Murray who is 2nd on the team in scoring at 20.2 points per game. At the time of this article, Murray is listed as questionable. For the season, he is 2nd on the team in usage rate and is 72nd in the NBA in player efficiency rating. If he is able to play, Denver benefit from having both of their top scorers as Nikola Jokic leads the team and is 20th in the league in scoring (24.9). For today’s matchup, he will going against a defense ranked 3rd in points allowed to centers.
Mavericks vs Nuggets Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Nuggets -7
- Free Total Prediction: Over OFF