Check out our free Mavericks vs Rockets pick and preview for this NBA game in Houston. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Mavericks vs Rockets NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets
- Where: Houston at Toyota Center
- Date: Monday, January 2nd
- Betting Odds HOU +7.5, DAL -304 | HOU +241 O/U 227.0
The Mavericks come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 21-16. So far, the team has gone 13-22-2 against the spread. Dallas will be going for their 7 straight win in today’s game as they have rattled off 6 straight wins.
Dallas is going for another win in today’s game, as they previously took down the Spurs. Going into the game, they were 7 point favorites against the spread. Their 126-125 victory was not enough to cover. This was a highly contested matchup, as Dallas was not able to extend their lead in the second half as they went into halftime with a 4 point lead. In the win, Luka Doncic led the team in scoring with 51 points on a field goal percentage of 62.1%.
The Rockets come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 10-26. So far, the team has gone 15-19-2 against the spread. Against the Mavericks, the Rockets are looking to break out of a 3 game losing streak. These defeats have come on an average scoring differential of -19.67 points per contest.
Not only did the Rockets drop their last game to the Knicks. But they also picked up an ATS loss, as they fell by a score of 108-88 as 3 point underdogs. The game got home from Houston in the 2nd half, as the Knicks extended their 4 point halftime lead to grab a 20 point win. In the loss, Kevin Porter Jr. led the team in scoring with 23 points on a field goal percentage of 58.3%.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
I In last year’s head-to-head meetings, the Mavericks averaged 117.25 points per game vs Houston, which was an increase over their season-long average. However, the Rockets actually averaged fewer points per game than their season-long mark. Across their head-to-head matchups with Dallas, the team averaged 100.75 points per game. Across the previous 5 meetings between the teams, the Mavericks have an average scoring margin of +9 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 3-2. The over-under record in these same games is 1-4, with the teams combining for an average of 213 points per game.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
This season, the Dallas offense is ranked 17th in the NBA in scoring at 112.6 points per game. So far, the Mavericks are averaging 96.5 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. Not only is the team one of the more deliberate units in the NBA, they have yet to find their shooting stroke, ranking just 14th in the league in field goal percentage 47.2%.
On the defensive end of the floor, the Mavericks are giving up an average of 104.72 points per game, good for 2nd in the NBA.
Point-Guard Luka Doncic currently leads the Mavericks at 34.2 points per game. For the season, he is 3rd in the NBA in usage rate and has taken 27.1% of the team’s field goal attempts. In addition to his scoring, Doncic is averaging 8.7 boards and 8.9 assists per contest. In today’s game, he is facing off against the NBA’s 18th ranked defense at defending point-guards. Christian Wood enters the game sitting second on the team in scoring. Through 34 games, he is averaging 17.7 and is 58th in the league in player efficiency rating.
This season, the Houston offense has had their problems scoring the ball as they are a below average unit at 109.4 points per game. So far, the Rockets are averaging 99.0 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. This slow style of play has made a difference in their overall scoring numbers, as Houston is just 30th in made field goals per game.
Currently, the Rockets defense is ranked 30th in points allowed. So far, opposing teams are averaging 118.2 points per game vs the unit.
On offense, Jalen Green leads the Rockets in scoring at 21.5 points per game, placing him 36th in the NBA. Overall, Green has hit 41.7% of his shots while accounting for 19.7% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 9th in points allowed to shooting guards. At 19.4 points per game, Kevin Porter Jr. is the 2nd leading scorer for the Rockets. For the season, he is 144th in the league in player efficiency rating, while posting a field goal percentage of 43.4%.
Mavericks vs Rockets Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Rockets +7.5
- Free Total Prediction: Under 227.0
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