Check out our free Mavericks vs Warriors pick and preview for this NBA game in San Francisco. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Mavericks vs Warriors NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors
- Where: San Francisco at Chase Center
- Date: Saturday, February 4th
- Betting Odds GS -9.5, DAL +340 | GS -457 O/U OFF
So far, the Mavericks have put together an overall record of 28-25, while going 18-33-2 vs the spread. Over the team’s 2 game win streak, they have an average scoring differential of 5.5 points per game.
In their previous game, the Mavericks took down the Pelicans by a score of 111-106. Not only did they come away with a straight up win, but they also covered the spread as 4 point favorites. Dallas benefited from holding a substantial first half lead, as the Pelicans actually outscored the Mavericks in the second half. In the win, Luka Doncic led the team in scoring with 31 points on a field goal percentage of 63.2%.
So far, the Warriors have put together an overall record of 26-26, while going 24-27-1 vs the spread. The Warriors head into today’s action in the midst of a 2 game losing streak. Their average scoring differential in these defeats is -11.0.
Golden State is trying to bounce back from a 134-117 loss to the Nuggets. Going into this game, the team was 6 point underdogs on the spread, giving them an ATS loss. Golden State was not able to make a comeback in this matchup, as they went into the half down by 1. Leading the team in scoring was Stephen Curry, as he contributed 28 points while hitting 58.8% of his shots.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
I Similar to their season-long average, the Mavericks averaged 105.0 points per game vs the Warriors. Similar to the Mavericks, the Warriors scored at a rate near the league average. In their games vs Dallas, the team averaged 106.5 points per game. Across the previous 5 meetings between the teams, the Warriors have an average scoring margin of +3 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 3-2. The over-under record in these same games is 4-1, with the teams combining for an average of 227 points per game.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
The Mavericks come into today’s game as the 24th ranked scoring offense at 112.3 points per game. One area that the Dallas offense is finding success, is their ability to get to the free-throw line. So far, the team is averaging 19.6 made free-throws per contest. If the Mavericks offense is going to improve, they could look to play at a faster tempo, as they currently average just 96.3 possession per game. This could benefit the team as they are currently one of the better 3-point shooting units in the NBA.
Defensively, the Mavericks are one of the top performing units in the league, giving up 104.72 points per contest (2nd).
Before getting in a bet on today’s game, be sure to check the injury reports as Luka Doncic has already been ruled out for the Mavericks. However, the key name to watch is Spencer Dinwiddie, as he is currently questionable. If he is unable to play, Dallas will be without its top two scorers, as Doncic is averaging 33.4 points per contest and Dinwiddie at 17.6. If Spencer Dinwiddie can give it a go, he will matched up against a Golden State defense ranked 11th in fewest points allowed to shooting guards.
The Golden State offense will take the floor in today’s game with the league’s 2nd ranked offense at 118.0 points per game. For the season, the Warriors have been playing an up-tempo style of basketball as they sit 1st in the NBA in possessions per game.. Not only is the team ranked near the top of the leauge in possessions, but this fast-paced style has translated to an increased number of made shots, as they are 10th in the league in made field goals per game.
On the defensive end of the floor, the Warriors are giving up an average of 105.46 points per game, good for 3rd in the NBA.
On offense, Stephen Curry leads the Warriors in scoring at 29.7 points per game, placing him 9th in the NBA. Overall, Curry has hit 49.3% of his shots while accounting for 22.2% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 11th in points allowed to point-guards. At 20.8 points per game, Jordan Poole is the 2nd leading scorer for the Warriors. For the season, he is 131st in the league in player efficiency rating, while posting a field goal percentage of 43.7%.
Mavericks vs Warriors Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Warriors -9.5
- Free Total Prediction: Over OFF