Another winning night last night has us on a three-day streak. Here are the NBA best bets for Friday night.

As a reminder, you can find offensive and defensive rankings at the bottom of this piece, along with pace of play.

We expanded to player props last week, looking at offensive preferences (threes or points in the paint). The goal is to find overlaps with a strong team in one category going against a team that struggles to stop that type of offense. Those rankings are also at the bottom.

This week: 20-11 (+8.5 units)

NBA Season: 63-43 (+23.5u)

Follow me on Twitter: @griffybets

Let’s get to Friday’s picks.

NBA Best Bets: Friday April 16

Prop pick: Domantis Sabonis OVER points

Indiana has an advantage in this paint. I’m surprised to see Utah as a bottom-ten team defending the interior with the presence of Rudy Gobert, but who am I to question these numbers?

Sabonis is the ideal Pacer to target in the paint.

Donovan Mitchell's hot January continues with another 35-point night in a win over the Denver Nuggets | Utah Jazz

Prop picks: Donovan Mitchell & Mike Conley OVER points

Sticking with the same game, there’s value to be had targeting some Jazz players. Utah is tops in the league in threes made per game and Indiana is bottom-ten defending the deep shot.

Mitchell shoots close to nine threes a game. With Jordan Clarkson out, Conley is next up with most threes attempted per game, at 7. He’s shooting 41% from deep.

New Orleans Pelicans TEAM TOTAL OVER 120.5 vs. Washington Wizards

This Wizards defense is so bad, and their offense plays so fast. It makes any game of theirs a good target. For tonight, we’ll be focusing on the Pelicans 7th-ranked offense, which should have no issues against the Wizards 26th-ranked defense

Ja Morant Is Torching Defenses and Becoming NBA's Newest Must-See Sensation | Bleacher Report | Latest News, Videos and Highlights

Prop picks: Ja Morant & Jonas Valanciunas OVER points

No team scores more in the paint than the Grizzlies, who get the Bulls and their 26th-ranked interior defense.

Prop picks: Damian Lillard & CJ McCollum OVER points vs. Spurs

*EDIT: Lillard is out

This pick is a simple one. The Blazers are second in the NBA in threes made, while San Antonio grades out in the bottom-ten defending the perimeter. Whichever value feels better for you, target the Blazers guards for either points or threes. Lillard shoots nearly 11 threes a game and McCollum shoots nearly ten.

Nerlens Noel, Taj Gibson confident in filling Mitchell Robinson's shoes for Knicks | Newsday

Dallas Mavericks-New York Knicks UNDER 210.5

This is a bet on two strong defenses and teams that play slow. The Knicks are tied for the best defense in the NBA. The Dallas offense prefers to shoot threes, ranked inside the top-ten of threes made. However, no team is stronger guarding the three than New York.

The Knicks are 30th in pace and the Mavericks are 27th.

*Note: The Nuggets were a clear target against Houston, to cover the -8.5 and for scoring props. I’m a bit wary of how their team will look without Jamal Murray, so being a bit conservative by staying away.

The Rankings: NBA Best Bets

For the sake of showing my work and being a resource to you all, the rankings for the week are below. Beyond offensive and defensive rankings, we’ve got pace of play rankings and teams rankings on threes and points in the paint (on both sides of the ball).

Shoutout to TeamRankings.com for their treasure trove of statistics.

Rankings are created by averaging out the following:

  • Points per game
  • Effective field goal percentage
  • Efficiency (off/def)

Pace is calculated by:

  • Field goals attempted per game
  • Possessions per game
Offensive RankingDefensive Ranking
  1. Brooklyn
  2. LA Clippers
  3. Milwaukee
  4. Utah
  5. Denver
  6. Phoenix
  7. New Orleans
  8. Sacramento
  9. Portland
  10. Atlanta
  11. Chicago
  12. Dallas
  13. Philadelphia
  14. Boston
  15. Indiana
  16. Memphis
  17. Golden State
  18. Toronto
  19. Charlotte
  20. LA Lakers
  21. Washington
  22. San Antonio
  23. Miami
  24. Detroit
  25. Minnesota
  26. Houston
  27. New York
  28. Okla City
  29. Orlando
  30. Cleveland
  1. LA Lakers (t-1)
  2. New York (t-1)
  3. Utah
  4. Philadelphia
  5. Phoenix
  6. Miami
  7. LA Clippers
  8. Dallas
  9. Boston
  10. Milwaukee
  11. Atlanta
  12. Golden State
  13. Toronto
  14. Memphis
  15. Indiana
  16. Denver
  17. San Antonio
  18. Charlotte
  19. Chicago
  20. Detroit
  21. Cleveland
  22. Brooklyn
  23. Okla City
  24. Orlando
  25. Houston
  26. Washington
  27. Portland
  28. Minnesota
  29. New Orleans
  30. Sacramento
Pace
  1. Milwaukee
  2. Minnesota
  3. Memphis
  4. Washington
  5. Indiana
  6. Golden State
  7. Chicago
  8. San Antonio
  9. Sacramento
  10. Houston
  11. Portland
  12. Orlando
  13. Toronto
  14. Brooklyn
  15. Philadelphia
  16. Utah
  17. New Orleans
  18. Boston
  19. Okla City
  20. Denver
  21. Charlotte
  22. LA Lakers
  23. Phoenix
  24. Atlanta
  25. Detroit
  26. Cleveland
  27. Dallas
  28. LA Clippers
  29. Miami
  30. New York

Offensive Preferences vs. Defensive Weaknesses

Offense: Points in PaintDefense: Opponent’s Points in Paint (worst to best)
  1. Memphis
  2. New Orleans
  3. Sacramento
  4. Indiana
  5. Cleveland
  6. Chicago
  7. LA Lakers
  8. Brooklyn
  9. Washington
  10. Denver
  11. Minnesota
  12. Milwaukee
  13. Philadelphia
  14. San Antonio
  15. Atlanta
  16. Boston
  17. Houston
  18. Detroit
  19. Okla City
  20. Golden State
  21. Phoenix
  22. Charlotte
  23. New York
  24. Miami
  25. Utah
  26. Dallas
  27. Toronto
  28. LA Clippers
  29. Orlando
  30. Portland
  1. Sacramento
  2. Indiana
  3. Minnesota
  4. Detroit
  5. Chicago
  6. Okla City
  7. Cleveland
  8. Utah
  9. San Antonio
  10. Houston
  11. Brooklyn
  12. Atlanta
  13. Portland
  14. LA Lakers
  15. LA Clippers
  16. Washington
  17. Charlotte
  18. Memphis
  19. Philadelphia
  20. Phoenix
  21. Golden State
  22. New Orleans
  23. Denver
  24. Orlando
  25. Boston
  26. Dallas
  27. New York
  28. Milwaukee
  29. Toronto
  30. Miami

 

Offense: Three-Pointers MadeDefense: Opponent Three Point % (worst to best)
  1. Utah
  2. Portland
  3. Toronto
  4. Milwaukee
  5. LA Clippers
  6. Brooklyn
  7. Charlotte
  8. Dallas
  9. Golden State
  10. Houston
  11. Boston
  12. Denver
  13. Phoenix
  14. Minnesota
  15. Atlanta
  16. Okla City
  17. Miami
  18. Chicago
  19. Indiana
  20. Detroit
  21. Sacramento
  22. Orlando
  23. New York
  24. LA Lakers
  25. New Orleans
  26. Memphis
  27. Philadelphia
  28. Washington
  29. San Antonio
  30. Cleveland
  1. New Orleans
  2. Sacramento
  3. Minnesota
  4. Cleveland
  5. Washington
  6. San Antonio
  7. Detroit
  8. Houston
  9. Toronto
  10. Indiana
  11. Milwaukee
  12. Orlando
  13. Portland
  14. Boston
  15. Golden State
  16. Memphis
  17. Brooklyn
  18. Charlotte
  19. LA Clippers
  20. Miami
  21. Dallas
  22. Philadelphia
  23. Denver
  24. Okla City
  25. Chicago
  26. Atlanta
  27. Phoenix
  28. LA Lakers
  29. Utah
  30. New York

 

Yesterday’s piece: NBA Best Bets: Thursday 4/15

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