After a night off, we have some system plays to target. Here are the NBA best bets for Friday night.
I’ve updated the rankings which guide these picks – all of which can be found at the bottom of the piece.
This week: 15-13 (even units)
NBA Season: 87-68 (+18.5u)
Follow me on Twitter: @griffybets
Let’s get to Friday’s picks.
NBA Best Bets: Friday April 23
Terry Rozier and Devonte Graham OVER points vs. Cleveland
The Hornets have a clear advantage against a Cleveland defense that struggles to stop the three. Both Rozier and Graham shoot over eight threes per game. Book it.
Los Angeles Clippers -10 vs. Houston Rockets, Paul George OVER
Wait until lineups are announced to place a bet. George was resting this week, Kawhi has been in and out.
Everything points to the Clippers here with their top-1o offense and defense going against the Rockets bottom-ten offense and defense. When such an intersection occurs, the only thing to do is target the spread.
There’s also an advantage for the Clippers shooting the three in this one, so George is the pick to hit, given that he shoots 7.6 threes per game.
Russell Westbrook & Bradley Beal OVERs
Back again with the Washington backcourt, the Wizards have a clear edge in the paint once again. There’s not much more to say, both guards should be able to score against the Thunder.
These two teams played earlier this week. Beal hit his over with 30 points. Westbrook only had 13 but he was 5-18 from the field. The volume is there, he should bounce back.
The Rankings: NBA Best Bets
For the sake of showing my work and being a resource to you all, the rankings for the week are below. Beyond offensive and defensive rankings, we’ve got pace of play rankings and teams rankings on threes and points in the paint (on both sides of the ball).
Shoutout to TeamRankings.com for their treasure trove of statistics.
Rankings are created by averaging out the following:
- Points per game
- Effective field goal percentage
- Efficiency (off/def)
Pace is calculated by:
- Field goals attempted per game
- Possessions per game
|Offensive Ranking||Defensive Ranking|
Offensive Preferences vs. Defensive Weaknesses
|Offense: Points in Paint||Defense: Opponent’s Points in Paint (worst to best)|
|Offense: Three-Pointers Made||Defense: Opponent Three Point % (worst to best)|
Last piece: NBA Best Bets: Wednesday 4/21