After a night off, we have some system plays to target. Here are the NBA best bets for Friday night.

I’ve updated the rankings which guide these picks – all of which can be found at the bottom of the piece.

This week: 15-13 (even units)

NBA Season: 87-68 (+18.5u)

Follow me on Twitter: @griffybets

Let’s get to Friday’s picks.

NBA Best Bets: Friday April 23

Charlotte Hornets: The unexpected rise of Devonte' Graham

Terry Rozier and Devonte Graham OVER points vs. Cleveland

The Hornets have a clear advantage against a Cleveland defense that struggles to stop the three. Both Rozier and Graham shoot over eight threes per game. Book it.

Los Angeles Clippers -10 vs. Houston Rockets, Paul George OVER

Wait until lineups are announced to place a bet. George was resting this week, Kawhi has been in and out. 

Everything points to the Clippers here with their top-1o offense and defense going against the Rockets bottom-ten offense and defense. When such an intersection occurs, the only thing to do is target the spread.

There’s also an advantage for the Clippers shooting the three in this one, so George is the pick to hit, given that he shoots 7.6 threes per game.

Russell Westbrook Breaks Wizards Triple-Double Record

Russell Westbrook & Bradley Beal OVERs

Back again with the Washington backcourt, the Wizards have a clear edge in the paint once again. There’s not much more to say, both guards should be able to score against the Thunder.

These two teams played earlier this week. Beal hit his over with 30 points. Westbrook only had 13 but he was 5-18 from the field. The volume is there, he should bounce back.

The Rankings: NBA Best Bets

For the sake of showing my work and being a resource to you all, the rankings for the week are below. Beyond offensive and defensive rankings, we’ve got pace of play rankings and teams rankings on threes and points in the paint (on both sides of the ball).

Shoutout to TeamRankings.com for their treasure trove of statistics.

Rankings are created by averaging out the following:

  • Points per game
  • Effective field goal percentage
  • Efficiency (off/def)

Pace is calculated by:

  • Field goals attempted per game
  • Possessions per game
Offensive RankingDefensive Ranking
  1. Brooklyn
  2. LA Clippers
  3. Milwaukee
  4. Denver
  5. Utah
  6. Phoenix
  7. Sacramento
  8. New Orleans
  9. Portland
  10. Boston
  11. Atlanta
  12. Dallas
  13. Philadelphia
  14. Chicago
  15. Indiana
  16. Golden State
  17. Memphis
  18. Toronto
  19. Charlotte
  20. Washington
  21. LA Lakers
  22. San Antonio
  23. Miami
  24. Houston
  25. Detroit
  26. New York
  27. Minnesota
  28. Okla City
  29. Orlando
  30. Cleveland
  1. LA Lakers (t-1)
  2. New York (t-1)
  3. Utah
  4. Philadelphia
  5. Phoenix
  6. Miami
  7. LA Clippers
  8. Dallas
  9. Golden State
  10. Milwaukee
  11. Toronto
  12. Boston
  13. San Antonio
  14. Memphis
  15. Atlanta
  16. Denver
  17. Indiana
  18. Detroit
  19. Charlotte
  20. Cleveland
  21. Brooklyn
  22. Chicago
  23. Okla City
  24. Orlando
  25. Washington
  26. Houston
  27. Portland
  28. New Orleans
  29. Minnesota
  30. Sacramento
Pace
  1. Minnesota
  2. Milwaukee
  3. Washington
  4. Memphis
  5. Indiana
  6. Golden State
  7. Chicago
  8. San Antonio
  9. Houston
  10. Sacramento
  11. Portland
  12. New Orleans
  13. Brooklyn
  14. Utah
  15. Okla City
  16. Orlando
  17. Toronto
  18. Philadelphia
  19. Boston
  20. Denver
  21. Charlotte
  22. LA Lakers
  23. Phoenix
  24. Atlanta
  25. Detroit
  26. Dallas
  27. Cleveland
  28. LA Clippers
  29. New York
  30. Miami

Offensive Preferences vs. Defensive Weaknesses

Offense: Points in PaintDefense: Opponent’s Points in Paint (worst to best)
  1. Memphis
  2. New Orleans
  3. Sacramento
  4. Indiana
  5. Cleveland
  6. Chicago
  7. Washington
  8. LA Lakers
  9. Brooklyn
  10. Denver
  11. Minnesota
  12. Milwaukee
  13. San Antonio
  14. Philadelphia
  15. Atlanta
  16. Houston
  17. Boston
  18. Okla City
  19. Detroit
  20. Golden State
  21. Charlotte
  22. Phoenix
  23. New York
  24. Miami
  25. Utah
  26. Dallas
  27. Toronto
  28. LA Clippers
  29. Orlando
  30. Portland
  1. Sacramento
  2. Indiana
  3. Detroit
  4. Chicago
  5. Minnesota
  6. Utah
  7. Okla City
  8. Cleveland
  9. San Antonio
  10. Houston
  11. Atlanta
  12. Portland
  13. LA Lakers
  14. Brooklyn
  15. Washington
  16. LA Clippers
  17. Memphis
  18. Golden State
  19. Charlotte
  20. Philadelphia
  21. Phoenix
  22. New Orleans
  23. Orlando
  24. Denver
  25. Boston
  26. Dallas
  27. New York
  28. Milwaukee
  29. Toronto
  30. Miami

 

Offense: Three-Pointers MadeDefense: Opponent Three Point % (worst to best)
  1. Utah
  2. Portland
  3. Toronto
  4. Milwaukee
  5. LA Clippers
  6. Brooklyn
  7. Golden State
  8. Charlotte
  9. Dallas
  10. Houston
  11. Boston
  12. Phoenix
  13. Denver
  14. Minnesota
  15. Atlanta
  16. Miami
  17. Okla City
  18. Chicago
  19. Indiana
  20. Detroit
  21. Sacramento
  22. Orlando
  23. New York
  24. LA Lakers
  25. Memphis
  26. Philadelphia
  27. New Orleans
  28. San Antonio
  29. Washington
  30. Cleveland
  1. Minnesota
  2. New Orleans
  3. Sacramento
  4. Cleveland
  5. Houston
  6. Toronto
  7. Washington
  8. San Antonio
  9. Orlando
  10. Indiana
  11. Milwaukee
  12. Portland
  13. Boston
  14. Detroit
  15. Charlotte
  16. Brooklyn
  17. Dallas
  18. Golden State
  19. Miami
  20. Memphis
  21. Denver
  22. Philadelphia
  23. Okla City
  24. LA Clippers
  25. Chicago
  26. Phoenix
  27. Atlanta
  28. LA Lakers
  29. Utah
  30. New York

 

Last piece: NBA Best Bets: Wednesday 4/21

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Griffin’s working to find betting value where others may not. With a main focus on the NFL, consider Griffin your go-to resource for matchup breakdowns, including in the trenches and receivers vs. corners. Follow @griffybets on Twitter for more articles and videos. NBA breakdowns will be the primary focus during the NFL offseason.