Check out our free Nets vs Heat pick and preview for this NBA game in Miami. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Nets vs Heat NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Brooklyn Nets at Miami Heat
- Where: Miami at Miami-Dade Arena
- Date: Saturday, March 25th
- Betting Odds MIA -5.5, BKN +182 | MIA -221 O/U 222.0
The Nets come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 39-34. So far, the team has gone 38-34-1 against the spread. Today, the Nets will be looking to snap a 5 game losing streak. In these games, they have an average scoring differential of -6.6 points.
Brooklyn will be gunning to get in the win column vs the Heat, as they previously lost to the Cavaliers by a score of 116-114. However, because they entered as 4 point underdogs, they came away with an ATS win. Brooklyn let an opportunity for a win slip away as they held a lead going into the 2nd half of action. In the loss, Mikal Bridges led the team in scoring with 32 points on a field goal percentage of 57.9%.
So far, the Heat have put together an overall record of 40-34, while going 28-44-2 vs the spread. Miami comes into the game having rattled off 2 straight wins. In these victories, the team has an average scoring margin of 9.5 points per game
In their previous game, the Heat took down the Knicks by a score of 127-120. Not only did they come away with a straight up win, but they also covered the spread as 2 point favorites. Miami went into halftime with a narrow 3 point lead before being able to slightly add to that margin by the games end. Leading the team in scoring was Jimmy Butler, as he contributed 35 points while hitting 57.9% of his shots.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
In the most recent game between the two teams, the Nets picked up a 102-101 win over the Heat. However, heading into the game, Brooklyn was favored to win by 2.5 points, giving the Heat and ATS victory. So far this season, the Nets have a record of 2-0 vs the Heat. Last year, the Nets saw a drop in overall scoring when playing the Heat, averaging 105.25 points per game. While the Nets struggled on offense in the series, the Heat maintained their usual level of scoring at 107.25 vs Brooklyn. The Nets have had the better record vs the spread over the last 5 games, going 3-2. The team’s average scoring margin in these contests sits at 4 points per game. Brooklyn and Miami averaged a combined 214 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
This season, the Brooklyn offense is ranked 20th in the NBA in scoring at 113.3 points per game. So far, the Nets are averaging 98.0 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. Even though the Nets are one of the more efficient 3-point shooting teams in the NBA at 38.1%, their slower-style of play may be holding back the team’s offense from fully taking off.
On defense, the Nets will look for some improved play, as they are currently the 18th ranked unit in points allowed per game.
Small-Forward Mikal Bridges currently leads the Nets at 19.3 points per game. For the season, he is 116th in the NBA in usage rate and has taken 17.3% of the team’s field goal attempts. In addition to his scoring, Bridges is averaging 4.4 boards and 3.3 assists per contest. In today’s game, he is facing off against the NBA’s 17th ranked defense at defending small-forwards. Spencer Dinwiddie enters the game sitting second on the team in scoring. Through 71 games, he is averaging 17.8 and is 140th in the league in player efficiency rating.
This season, the Miami offense has had their problems scoring the ball as they are a below average unit at 109.3 points per game. So far, the Heat are averaging 96.5 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. A key aspect of the team’s offensive struggles is the fact that they not only play at a slow pace, but they struggle to score inside. Heading into today’s game, Miami is just 27th in shots made inside the arc.
Against the Nets, the Heat will look to continue their strong defensive play. For the year, they are the 4th ranked unit at 105.57 points per game.
Center Bam Adebayo currently leads the Heat at 21.0 points per game. For the season, he is 72nd in the NBA in usage rate and has taken 17.8% of the team’s field goal attempts. In addition to his scoring, Adebayo is averaging 9.3 boards and 3.3 assists per contest. In today’s game, he is facing off against the NBA’s 15th ranked defense at defending centers. Jimmy Butler enters the game sitting second on the team in scoring. Through 59 games, he is averaging 22.9 and is 12th in the league in player efficiency rating.
Nets vs Heat Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Heat -5.5
- Free Total Prediction: Over 222.0
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