Check out our free Nuggets vs 76ers pick and preview for this NBA game in Philadelphia. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Nuggets vs 76ers NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Denver Nuggets at Philadelphia 76ers
- Where: Philadelphia at Wells Fargo Center
- Date: Saturday, January 28th
- Betting Odds PHI -4, DEN +150 | PHI -190 O/U nan
The Nuggets come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 34-15. So far, the team has gone 25-23-1 against the spread. Across the team’s previous 3 games, they have gone 1-2 straight-up and 1-2 vs the spread.
The Nuggets will be looking to bounce back from a 107-99 loss to the Bucks. In terms of betting, Denver entered as 12 point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. Denver was not able to turn things around in the 2nd half, as they trailed the Bucks by 8 going into halftime. Leading the team in scoring was Aaron Gordon, as he contributed 26 points while hitting 41.7% of his shots.
So far, the 76ers have put together an overall record of 31-16, while going 26-20-1 vs the spread. In today’s game, Philadelphia will look to extend their 6 game winning streak. Over this stretch, they have an average scoring margin of 4.67 points.
The 76ers are coming off a 137-133 win over the Nets. Although they came away with a straight up win, it was not enough to cover the spread as they entered as 7 point favorites. Philadelphia went on to win the game, as they led by 10 heading into halftime. Leading the team in scoring was Tyrese Maxey, as he contributed 27 points while hitting 57.1% of his shots.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
Going back to last season, the Nuggets and 76ers split their season series, with each team picking up a win on the road. The average point total across the two games was 204.5 points. Last year, the Nuggets saw a drop in overall scoring when playing the 76ers, averaging 101.5 points per game. While the Nuggets struggled on offense in the series, the 76ers maintained their usual level of scoring at 106.5 vs Denver. Through the last 5 matchups between the teams, Denver has an ATS mark of 3-2. But, looking at the scoring margin in these games, an average of just 1 points per game separates the teams. The over-under record in these same games is 1-3-1, with the teams combining for an average of 203 points per game.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
For the season, the Denver offense is the 8th ranked unit in the NBA, at 116.5 points per contest. When looking at the team’s pace of play, the Nuggets are currently below the league average in possessions per game, averaging just 98.1 per contest. A key reason behind the team’s overall offensive success is their ability to knock down the 3-point shot. Despite their slow style of play, their 3-point shooting percentage of 39.5% has help make up for fewer opportunites.
Against the 76ers, the Nuggets will need a stronger defensive effort as they are ranked just 14th in points allowed.
Before getting a bet down on this matchup, be sure to check in on the health status of Jamal Murray who is 2nd on the team in scoring at 19.1 points per game. At the time of this article, Murray is listed as questionable. For the season, he is 4th on the team in usage rate and is 80th in the NBA in player efficiency rating. If he is able to play, Denver benefit from having both of their top scorers as Nikola Jokic leads the team and is 20th in the league in scoring (25.1). For today’s matchup, he will going against a defense ranked 3rd in points allowed to centers.
The 76ers come into today’s game as the 13th ranked scoring offense at 114.6 points per game. So far, the 76ers are averaging 98.1 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. Although the team tends to play at a more deliberate pace, they are currently one of the more efficient shooting teams, connecting on field goal attempts at a rate of 48.2%.
On the defensive end of the floor, the 76ers are giving up an average of 107.33 points per game, good for 8th in the NBA.
One situation to keep an eye on leading up the game is the availability of Joel Embiid, as he is currently questionable on the injury report. If he is able to play, the team will have it’s 1-2 punch availble as Embiid leads the team in scoring at 33.4 points per game while Harris is 2nd at 16.3. For the season, Embiid is 5th in the NBA in usage rate and 8th in player efficiency. Behind him, Harris has taken 15.2% of the team’s field goal attempts, connecting at a rate of 50.3%.
Nuggets vs 76ers Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Nuggets +4
- Free Total Prediction: Over nan
Props