Check out our free Nuggets vs Bucks pick and preview for this NBA game in Milwaukee. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Nuggets vs Bucks NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Denver Nuggets at Milwaukee Bucks
- Where: Milwaukee at Fiserv Forum
- Date: Wednesday, January 25th
- Betting Odds MIL -7, DEN +225 | MIL -283 O/U OFF
The Nuggets come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 34-14. So far, the team has gone 24-23-1 against the spread. Over the team’s past 3 games, Denver has an overall record of 2-1, including going 1-2 against the spread.
Denver is going for another win in today’s game, as they previously took down the Pelicans. Going into the game, they were 3 point favorites against the spread. Their 99-98 victory was not enough to cover. Denver will look to do a better job putting teams away down the stretch, as they let the Pelicans get back into the game after leading by 16 points at halftime. In the win, Jamal Murray led the team in scoring with 25 points on a field goal percentage of 52.4%.
The Bucks come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 30-17. So far, the team has gone 25-19-3 against the spread. In their previous 3 games, the Bucks are averaging 127 points per game while allowing 122. This has led to a record of 2-1.
In their previous game, the Bucks took down the Pistons by a score of 150-130. Not only did they come away with a straight up win, but they also covered the spread as 11 point favorites. Milwaukee played well enough in the second half to prevent the Pistons from making things interesting down the stretch, as they led by 28 going into halftime. Leading the team in scoring was Giannis Antetokounmpo, as he contributed 29 points while hitting 53.3% of his shots.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
Going back to last season, the Nuggets and Bucks split their season series, with each team picking up a win on the road. The average point total across the two games was 242.5 points. In last year’s head-to-head meetings, the Nuggets averaged 122.5 points per game vs Milwaukee, which was an increase over their season-long average. While the Nuggets saw a boost in scoring, the Bucks averaged 110.0 points per contest in head-to-head meeting vs Denver. This figure was similar to season-long average. In terms of betting, Denver has an ATS record of 3-2 in the previous 5 matchups vs Milwaukee. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +11 points per game in favor of the Nuggets. In these contests, they averaged a combined 225 points per game, leading to an over-under mark of 3-2.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
The Nuggets come into today’s game as one of the better scoring teams in the NBA at 116.9 points per game (7th). So far, the Nuggets are averaging 97.9 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. Although the team tends to play at a more deliberate pace, they are currently one of the more efficient shooting teams, connecting on field goal attempts at a rate of 51.0%.
On defense, the Nuggets will look for some improved play, as they are currently the 14th ranked unit in points allowed per game.
Center Nikola Jokic currently leads the Nuggets at 25.1 points per game. For the season, he is 38th in the NBA in usage rate and has taken 17.7% of the team’s field goal attempts. In addition to his scoring, Jokic is averaging 11.0 boards and 9.9 assists per contest. In today’s game, he is facing off against the NBA’s 14th ranked defense at defending centers. Jamal Murray enters the game sitting second on the team in scoring. Through 41 games, he is averaging 19.1 and is 81st in the league in player efficiency rating.
This season, the Milwaukee offense has had their problems scoring the ball as they are a below average unit at 113.2 points per game. The Bucks come into the game as one of the league’s better 3-point shooting teams, connecting at a rate of 14.2 made 3’s per game. If the Milwaukee offense is going to improve, they would benefit from attacking the basket and generating looks at the line. So far, they are ranked just 27th in made free-throws per game.
On defense, the Bucks will look for some improved play, as they are currently the 19th ranked unit in points allowed per game.
This season, the Bucks offense has primarily worked through Giannis Antetokounmpo and Jrue Holiday who are 1st and 2nd on the team in scoring. In his 36 games, Antetokounmpo is 4th in the NBA at 30.9 points per game. So far, him and Holiday have accounted for 40% of the team’s field goal attempts while combining to average 50.4 points per contest. In addition to sitting 2nd on the team in scoring, Jrue Holiday is grabbing 4.9 rebounds for Milwaukee to go along with 7.4 assists.
Nuggets vs Bucks Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Nuggets +7
- Free Total Prediction: Over OFF
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