Nuggets vs Heat Pick, Preview & Betting Odds For Monday, February 13th

Check out our free Nuggets vs Heat pick and preview for this NBA game in Miami. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.

Nuggets vs Heat NBA Pick & Preview

Sport: NBA
Teams: Denver Nuggets at Miami Heat
Where: Miami at Miami-Dade Arena
Date: Monday, February 13th
Betting Odds MIA -2, DEN +106 | MIA -128 O/U 223.5

So far, the Nuggets have put together an overall record of 39-18, while going 30-26-1 vs the spread. Across the team’s previous 3 games, they have gone 2-1 straight-up and 2-1 vs the spread.

In their previous game, the Nuggets took down the Hornets by a score of 119-105. Not only did they come away with a straight up win, but they also covered the spread as 7 point favorites. Although Denver trailed the Hornets going into halftime, by the end of the 3rd quarter they had taken the lead. Leading the team in scoring was Nikola Jokic, as he contributed 30 points while hitting 50.0% of his shots.

The Heat come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 32-25. So far, the team has gone 22-33-2 against the spread. Miami comes into the game having rattled off 3 straight wins. In these victories, the team has an average scoring margin of 3.67 points per game

The Heat will look to keep things rolling, as they previously beat the Magic by a score of 107-103. Heading into the game, they were 1 point favorites against the spread, giving them an ATS win. Miami pulled out the win despite trailing by 8 going into halftime. The team did not put a dent in this deficit in the 3rd quarter, but put together a strong comeback effort in the 4th. Leading the team in scoring was Tyler Herro, as he contributed 23 points while hitting 43.5% of his shots.

Head To Head Recap & Stats

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Nuggets picked up the 124-119 win over the Heat. The Nuggets point margin of victory was enough to cover the spread as 4.0 point favorite. This has been the only matchup between the two teams this season. Similar to their season-long average, the Nuggets averaged 116.5 points per game vs the Heat. While the Nuggets were able to maintain their usual level of production against Miami, the Heat averaged fewer points per game in the series, at 103.5. The Nuggets have had the better record vs the spread over the last 5 games, going 5-0. The team’s average scoring margin in these contests sits at 15 points per game. The over-under record in these same games is 4-1, with the teams combining for an average of 219 points per game.

Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game

For the season, the Denver offense is the 6th ranked unit in the NBA, at 117.2 points per contest. Coming into today’s game, the Nuggets will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 12.1 made 3’s per game. If Denver continues to struggle with their outside shot, they may look to start playing with more pace, as they are currently 20th in the league in possessions per game.

Defensively, Denver has had its problems giving up an average of 110.41 points per game (14th).

Before getting a bet down on this matchup, be sure to check in on the health status of Jamal Murray who is 2nd on the team in scoring at 20.2 points per game. At the time of this article, Murray is listed as questionable. For the season, he is 2nd on the team in usage rate and is 72nd in the NBA in player efficiency rating. If he is able to play, Denver benefit from having both of their top scorers as Nikola Jokic leads the team and is 20th in the league in scoring (24.9). For today’s matchup, he will going against a defense ranked 1st in points allowed to centers.

This season, the Miami offense has had their problems scoring the ball as they are a below average unit at 108.4 points per game. Coming into today’s game, the Heat will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 11.7 made 3’s per game. If the Miami offense is going to improve, they must continue to do a good job avoiding turnovers. Currently, the unit is 5th in fewest turnovers per game.

On the defensive end of the floor, the Heat are giving up an average of 105.57 points per game, good for 4th in the NBA.

Before getting a bet down on this matchup, be sure to check in on the health status of Tyler Herro who is 2nd on the team in scoring at 20.6 points per game. At the time of this article, Herro is listed as questionable. For the season, he is 1st on the team in usage rate and is 143rd in the NBA in player efficiency rating. If he is able to play, Miami benefit from having both of their top scorers as Bam Adebayo leads the team and is 39th in the league in scoring (21.6). For today’s matchup, he will going against a defense ranked 19th in points allowed to centers.