Check out our free Nuggets vs Spurs pick and preview for this NBA game in San Antonio. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.

Nuggets vs Spurs NBA Pick & Preview

  • Sport: NBA
  • Teams: Denver Nuggets at San Antonio Spurs
  • Where: San Antonio at AT&T Center
  • Date: Friday, March 10th
  • Betting Odds SA +12, DEN -780 | SA +534 O/U 235.0

The Nuggets come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 46-20. So far, the team has gone 36-29-1 against the spread. Over the team’s past 3 games, Denver has an overall record of 2-1, including going 1-2 against the spread.

In their previous game, the Nuggets were favored to win vs the Bulls. However, their 117-96 loss, gave them both a straight up and ATS loss. Denver missed out on an opportunity to add a win to their resume, as they held a 1 point lead going into halftime. In the loss, Nikola Jokic led the team in scoring with 18 points on a field goal percentage of 43.8%.

So far, the Spurs have put together an overall record of 16-49, while going 26-39-0 vs the spread. Against the Nuggets, the Spurs are looking to break out of a 2 game losing streak. These defeats have come on an average scoring differential of -22.0 points per contest.

San Antonio is trying to bounce back from a 142-110 loss to the Rockets. Going into this game, the team was 4 point underdogs on the spread, giving them an ATS loss. San Antonio struggled throughout the game, as they were not able to chip home at a 10 point halftime deficit. Leading the team in scoring was Keita Bates-Diop, as he contributed 17 points while hitting 60.0% of his shots.

Head To Head Recap & Stats

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Nuggets picked up the 126-101 win over the Spurs. The Nuggets point margin of victory was enough to cover the spread as 11.5 point favorite. So far this season, the Nuggets have a record of 2-0 vs the Spurs. Similar to their season-long average, the Nuggets averaged 109.25 points per game vs the Spurs. Just like the Nuggets, the Spurs maintained their usual level of scoring in head-to-head matchups, averaging 111.75 points per game vs Denver. Although the Spurs have the better ATS mark across the previous 5 head-head matchups at 3-2, the average scoring margin sits in favor of Denver, as they averaged 115 points per game while allowing 112. In these contests, they averaged a combined 227 points per game, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.

Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game

The Nuggets come into today’s game as one of the better scoring teams in the NBA at 116.8 points per game (7th). Coming into today’s game, the Nuggets will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 12.2 made 3’s per game. If Denver continues to struggle with their outside shot, they may look to start playing with more pace, as they are currently 19th in the league in possessions per game.

Defensively, Denver has had its problems giving up an average of 110.41 points per game (14th).

Center Nikola Jokic currently leads the Nuggets at 24.3 points per game. For the season, he is 49th in the NBA in usage rate and has taken 16.9% of the team’s field goal attempts. In addition to his scoring, Jokic is averaging 11.8 boards and 10.0 assists per contest. In today’s game, he is facing off against the NBA’s 30th ranked defense at defending centers. Jamal Murray enters the game sitting second on the team in scoring. Through 52 games, he is averaging 20.1 and is 72nd in the league in player efficiency rating.

For the season, the Spurs offensive unit is ranked just 24th in scoring at 112.1 points per contest. In terms of pace, the Spurs are on the top units in the NBA, averaging 101.2 possessions per game. Although the team is playing at an up-tempo speed, they would benefit from scoring with more efficiency, as they are just 23rd in the league in overall field goal percentage at 52.4%.

On defense, the Spurs will look for some improved play, as they are currently the 23rd ranked unit in points allowed per game.

This season, the Spurs offense has primarily worked through Keldon Johnson and Tre Jones who are 1st and 2nd on the team in scoring. In his 56 games, Johnson is 38th in the NBA at 21.6 points per game. So far, him and Jones have accounted for 31% of the team’s field goal attempts while combining to average 34.1 points per contest. In addition to sitting 2nd on the team in scoring, Tre Jones is grabbing 3.6 rebounds for San Antonio to go along with 6.2 assists.

Nuggets vs Spurs Pick

  • Free Spread Prediction: Spurs +12
  • Free Total Prediction: Over 235.0