Check out our free Nuggets vs Thunder pick and preview for this NBA game in Oklahoma City. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Nuggets vs Thunder NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder
- Where: Oklahoma City at Paycom Center
- Date: Wednesday, November 23rd
- Betting Odds OKC +2.5, DEN -134 | OKC +111 O/U 229.0
The Nuggets come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 10-7. So far, the team has gone 7-10-0 against the spread. In the teams past 3 games, their overall mark sits at 1-2. Denver is 1-2 vs the spread in these matchups.
In their previous game, the Nuggets were favored to win vs the Pistons. However, their 110-108 loss, gave them both a straight up and ATS loss. This was a tightly contested game throughout, as Denver only trailed by 1 point going into halftime. Leading the team in scoring was Nikola Jokic, as he contributed 31 points while hitting 75.0% of his shots.
So far, the Thunder have put together an overall record of 7-10, while going 10-7-0 vs the spread. The Thunder head into today’s action in the midst of a 2 game losing streak. Their average scoring differential in these defeats is -10.5.
In their previous game, the Thunder were favored to win vs the Knicks. However, their 129-119 loss gave them both a straight up and ATS defeat. In the loss, Oklahoma City got off to a slow start, trailing by 11 points going into halftime. Leading the team in scoring was Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, as he contributed 30 points while hitting 40.9% of his shots.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
In the 2021-2022 season, the Nuggets and Thunder split the series, with each team going 2-2. This year, Oklahoma City will look to do a better job at home, as they also split their games at the Paycom Center. Last year, the Nuggets saw a drop in overall scoring when playing the Thunder, averaging 103.25 points per game. While the Nuggets struggled on offense in the series, the Thunder maintained their usual level of scoring at 107.25 vs Denver. When looking at how these teams have performed vs the spread in recent matchups, the Thunder have an ATS mark of 4-1. Yet, the Nuggets have averaged more points per game in these contests, at 112 compared to Oklahoma City at 112. The over-under record in these same games is 3-2, with the teams combining for an average of 221 points per game.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
The Nuggets come into today’s game as the 13th ranked scoring offense at 113.5 points per game. The Nuggets come into the game as one of the league’s better 3-point shooting teams, connecting at a rate of 12.3 made 3’s per game. Despite shooting the ball well from outside, Denver has not done a good job taking care of the ball. So far, they are averaging 14.8 turnovers per game.
Defensively, Denver has had its problems giving up an average of 110.41 points per game (14th).
Center Nikola Jokic currently leads the Nuggets at 21.5 points per game. For the season, he is 73rd in the NBA in usage rate and has taken 15.3% of the team’s field goal attempts. In addition to his scoring, Jokic is averaging 9.43 boards and 9.0 assists per contest. In today’s game, he is facing off against the NBA’s 25th ranked defense at defending centers. Michael Porter Jr. enters the game sitting second on the team in scoring. Through 16 games, he is averaging 16.44 and is 126th in the league in player efficiency rating.
Oklahoma City will look to continue with their strong offensive play, as they are averaging 116.4 points per game (6th). For the season, the Thunder have been playing an up-tempo style of basketball as they sit 1st in the NBA in possessions per game.. Thus far, the team’s faced paced style of play has helped their overall numbers, as they are currently the 1st team in made field goals per contest.
Defensively, Oklahoma City has had its problems giving up an average of 111.83 points per game (15th).
This season, the Thunder offense has primarily worked through Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Luguentz Dort, who are 1st and 2nd on the team in scoring. In his 16 games, Gilgeous-Alexander is 4th in the NBA at 31.06 points per game. So far, him and Dort have accounted for 36% of the team’s field goal attempts while combining to average 45.239999999999995 points per contest. In addition to sitting 2nd on the team in scoring, Luguentz Dort is grabbing 4.59 rebounds for Oklahoma City to go along with 2.29 assists.
Nuggets vs Thunder Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Thunder +2.5
- Free Total Prediction: Under 229.0
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