Check out our free Nuggets vs Timberwolves pick and preview for this NBA game in Minneapolis. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Nuggets vs Timberwolves NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Denver Nuggets at Minnesota Timberwolves
- Where: Minneapolis at Target Center
- Date: Monday, January 2nd
- Betting Odds MIN +3, DEN -153 | MIN +124 O/U OFF
So far, the Nuggets have put together an overall record of 24-12, while going 18-18-0 vs the spread. Against the Timberwolves, the Nuggets are looking to add to their current 2 game winning streak. Team has an average scoring margin of 8.5 in these matchups.
The Nuggets are coming off a 123-111 win over the Celtics. This away win came despite entering the game as the 3 point underdogs. Denver entered the second half with a 8a point lead, and were able to slightly extend that margin and prevent a second half comeback by the Celtics. Leading the team in scoring was Nikola Jokic, as he contributed 30 points while hitting 76.9% of his shots.
The Timberwolves come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 16-21. So far, the team has gone 14-23-0 against the spread. Minnesota will take the court having lost 6 straight games. On average, they have lost these games by -7.0 points per game.
The Timberwolves are coming off a dissappointing 116-104 loss to the Pistons. Going into the game, they were favored to win by 7 points. Minnesota went on to lose the game despite leading by 14 heading into halftime. Leading the team in scoring was Anthony Edwards, as he contributed 30 points while hitting 47.6% of his shots.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
In last year’s regular season games with the Timberwolves as the home team, Minnesota and Denver played to a split. However, the Timberwolves won the overall season series with a record of 3-1. Similar to their season-long average, the Nuggets averaged 111.25 points per game vs the Timberwolves. Similar to the Nuggets, the Timberwolves scored at a rate near the league average. In their games vs Denver, the team averaged 120.25 points per game. Across the previous 5 meetings between the teams, the Timberwolves have an average scoring margin of +5 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 3-2. In these contests, they averaged a combined 227 points per game, leading to an over-under mark of 3-2.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
The Denver offense will take the floor in today’s game with the league’s 5th ranked offense at 116.6 points per game. When looking at the team’s pace of play, the Nuggets are currently below the league average in possessions per game, averaging just 98.7 per contest. A key reason behind the team’s overall offensive success is their ability to knock down the 3-point shot. Despite their slow style of play, their 3-point shooting percentage of 39.9% has help make up for fewer opportunites.
Defensively, Denver has had its problems giving up an average of 110.41 points per game (14th).
This season, the Nuggets offense has primarily worked through Nikola Jokic and Aaron Gordon who are 1st and 2nd on the team in scoring. In his 33 games, Jokic is 20th in the NBA at 25.7 points per game. So far, him and Gordon have accounted for 31% of the team’s field goal attempts while combining to average 43.0 points per contest. In addition to sitting 2nd on the team in scoring, Aaron Gordon is grabbing 6.6 rebounds for Denver to go along with 2.3 assists.
For the season, the Timberwolves offensive unit is ranked just 15th in scoring at 114.4 points per contest. Coming into today’s game, the Timberwolves will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 11.1 made 3’s per game. Not only is the Minnesota offense struggling with their outside shot, but they are also getting to the charity stripe at a below average rate. So far, they are the 13th ranked team in made free-throws per contest.
Against the Nuggets, the Timberwolves will need a stronger defensive effort as they are ranked just 24th in points allowed.
This season, the Timberwolves offense has primarily worked through Anthony Edwards and D’Angelo Russell who are 1st and 2nd on the team in scoring. In his 37 games, Edwards is 23rd in the NBA at 23.9 points per game. So far, him and Russell have accounted for 37% of the team’s field goal attempts while combining to average 40.9 points per contest. In addition to sitting 2nd on the team in scoring, D’Angelo Russell is grabbing 3.2 rebounds for Minnesota to go along with 6.5 assists.
Nuggets vs Timberwolves Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Nuggets -3.0
- Free Total Prediction: Under OFF