Check out our free Pacers vs Heat pick and preview for this NBA game in Miami. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.

Pacers vs Heat NBA Pick & Preview

  • Sport: NBA
  • Teams: Indiana Pacers at Miami Heat
  • Where: Miami at Miami-Dade Arena
  • Date: Wednesday, February 8th
  • Betting Odds MIA -7, IND +221 | MIA -275 O/U 223.0

The Pacers come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 25-30. So far, the team has gone 29-25-1 against the spread. In the teams past 3 games, their overall mark sits at 1-2. Indiana is 2-1 vs the spread in these matchups.

Not only did the Pacers drop their last game to the Cavaliers. But they also picked up an ATS loss, as they fell by a score of 122-103 as 4 point underdogs. Indiana struggled throughout the game, as they were not able to chip away at a 16 point halftime deficit. In the loss, Myles Turner led the team in scoring with 27 points on a field goal percentage of 50.0%.

So far, the Heat have put together an overall record of 29-25, while going 21-31-2 vs the spread. Miami will take the court having lost 2 straight games. On average, they have lost these games by -5.0 points per game.

Miami is trying to bounce back from a 123-115 loss to the Bucks. Going into this game, the team was 6 point underdogs on the spread, giving them an ATS loss. Going into halftime, the teams were all tied at 62, before the Pacers went on to take control of the game in the 2nd half. Leading the team in scoring was Jimmy Butler, as he contributed 32 points while hitting 52.4% of his shots.

Head To Head Recap & Stats

I Last year, the Pacers saw a drop in overall scoring when playing the Heat, averaging 100.67 points per game. While the Pacers struggled on offense in the series, the Heat maintained their usual level of scoring at 109.67 vs Indiana. Across the previous 5 meetings between the teams, the Heat have an average scoring margin of +8 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 3-2. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 2-3. Combined, they averaged 204 points in these games.

Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game

The Pacers come into today’s game as one of the better scoring teams in the NBA at 114.7 points per game (12th). In terms of pace, the Pacers are on the top units in the NBA, averaging 100.8 possessions per game. Even though the unit has one of the lower effective field goal percentages in the NBA at 53.5%. Their up-tempo style of play has given them enough opportunites to make up for their poor shooting numbers.

Currently, the Pacers defense is ranked 26th in points allowed. So far, opposing teams are averaging 114.94 points per game vs the unit.

This season, the Pacers offense has primarily worked through Bennedict Mathurin and Buddy Hield who are 1st and 2nd on the team in scoring. In his 55 games, Mathurin is 73rd in the NBA at 17.4 points per game. So far, him and Hield have accounted for 30% of the team’s field goal attempts while combining to average 34.8 points per contest. In addition to sitting 2nd on the team in scoring, Buddy Hield is grabbing 5.0 rebounds for Indiana to go along with 2.7 assists.

For the season, the Heat offensive unit is ranked just 30th in scoring at 108.5 points per contest. Coming into today’s game, the Heat will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 11.8 made 3’s per game. If Miami continues to struggle with their outside shot, they may look to start playing with more pace, as they are currently 28th in the league in possessions per game.

Defensively, the Heat are one of the top performing units in the league, giving up 105.57 points per contest (4th).

On offense, Bam Adebayo leads the Heat in scoring at 21.5 points per game, placing him 40th in the NBA. Overall, Adebayo has hit 54.1% of his shots while accounting for 18.3% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 27th in points allowed to centers. At 20.4 points per game, Tyler Herro is the 2nd leading scorer for the Heat. For the season, he is 134th in the league in player efficiency rating, while posting a field goal percentage of 43.7%.

Pacers vs Heat Pick

  • Free Spread Prediction: Pacers +7
  • Free Total Prediction: Over 223.0