Check out our free Pacers vs Nuggets pick and preview for this NBA game in Denver. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.

Pacers vs Nuggets NBA Pick & Preview

  • Sport: NBA
  • Teams: Indiana Pacers at Denver Nuggets
  • Where: Denver at Ball Arena
  • Date: Friday, January 20th
  • Betting Odds DEN -11, IND +425 | DEN -582 O/U 240.0

So far, the Pacers have put together an overall record of 23-23, while going 26-19-1 vs the spread. Indiana will take the court having lost 5 straight games. The team has an average scoring margin of -11.8 in these matchups.

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Not only did the Pacers drop their last game to the Thunder. But they also picked up an ATS loss, as they fell by a score of 126-106 as 3 point underdogs. Indiana struggled throughout the game, as they were not able to chip away at a 14 point halftime deficit. In the loss, Andrew Nembhard led the team in scoring with 18 points on a field goal percentage of 43.8%.

So far, the Nuggets have put together an overall record of 32-13, while going 23-21-1 vs the spread. Against the Pacers, the Nuggets are looking to add to their current 8 game winning streak. The average margin of victory across these matchups is 14.25.

The Nuggets are coming off a 122-118 win over the Timberwolves. Although they came away with a straight up win, it was not enough to cover the spread as they entered as 9 point favorites. Denver went on to win the game, despite trailing by 5 going into halftime. In the win, Nikola Jokic led the team in scoring with 31 points on a field goal percentage of 60.0%.

Head To Head Recap & Stats

I Similar to their season-long average, the Pacers averaged 108.0 points per game vs the Nuggets. Similar to the Pacers, the Nuggets scored at a rate near the league average. In their games vs Indiana, the team averaged 113.0 points per game. Over the last 5 head to head meetings, the Nuggets have averaged 116 points per game compared to 108 for Indiana. This has led to an ATS record of 3-2 for Denver. The over-under record in these same games is 3-2, with the teams combining for an average of 224 points per game.

Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game

Coming into today’s action, Indiana is averaging 115.3 points per contest. This figure places them 12th in the league. When looking at the Pacers pace of play, they tend to play an up-tempo style of basketball. So far, the team is in the upper half of the NBA in possessions per game, averaging 100.8. Even though the unit has one of the lower effective field goal percentages in the NBA at 53.8%. Their up-tempo style of play has given them enough opportunites to make up for their poor shooting numbers.

Against the Nuggets, the Pacers will need a stronger defensive effort as they are ranked just 26th in points allowed.

A key injury to note in this game is the absence of the Pacers 2nd leading scorer, Tyrese Haliburton. In his 40 games, Haliburton is averaging 20.2 points per game while dishing out 10.2 assists and grabbing 4.0 rebounds. In his absence, the team will be looking for even more production out of Buddy Hield, who leads the team and is 68th in the NBA at 17.6 points per contest. For the season, he has connected on 44.9% of his field goal attempts while taking 15.6% of the team’s shots from the floor.

Coming into today’s action, Denver is averaging 117.3 points per contest. This figure places them 6th in the league. The Nuggets come into the game as one of the league’s better 3-point shooting teams, connecting at a rate of 12.2 made 3’s per game. If the Nuggets offense is going to improve, they could look to play at a faster tempo, as they currently average just 98.3 possession per game. This could benefit the team as they are currently one of the better 3-point shooting units in the NBA.

Against the Pacers, the Nuggets will need a stronger defensive effort as they are ranked just 14th in points allowed.

On offense, Nikola Jokic leads the Nuggets in scoring at 25.1 points per game, placing him 20th in the NBA. Overall, Jokic has hit 62.6% of his shots while accounting for 17.6% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 23rd in points allowed to centers. At 18.8 points per game, Jamal Murray is the 2nd leading scorer for the Nuggets. For the season, he is 91st in the league in player efficiency rating, while posting a field goal percentage of 44.8%.

Pacers vs Nuggets Pick

  • Free Spread Prediction: Pacers +11
  • Free Total Prediction: Over 240.0

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