Check out our free Pelicans vs Heat pick and preview for this NBA game in Miami. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Pelicans vs Heat NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: New Orleans Pelicans at Miami Heat
- Where: Miami at Miami-Dade Arena
- Date: Sunday, January 22nd
- Betting Odds MIA -7, NO +234 | MIA -291 O/U 222.0
The Pelicans come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 26-20. So far, the team has gone 22-24-0 against the spread. Over the Pelicans current 3 game losing streak, they have an average scoring differential of -16.33 points per game.
In their previous game, the Pelicans were favored to win vs the Magic. However, their 123-110 loss, gave them both a straight up and ATS loss. New Orleans missed out on an opportunity to add a win to their resume, as they held a 4 point lead going into halftime. Leading the team in scoring was CJ McCollum, as he contributed 23 points while hitting 28.6% of his shots.
The Heat come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 25-22. So far, the team has gone 19-26-2 against the spread. Looking back on Heat’ previous 3 games, they have a record of 1-2 while averaging 109 points per game. Over this stretch, their ATS mark is 1-2.
In their previous game, the Heat were favored to win vs the Mavericks. However, their 115-90 loss gave them both a straight up and ATS defeat. The game got home from Miami in the 2nd half, as the Mavericks extended their 9 point halftime lead to grab a 25 point win. In the loss, Victor Oladipo led the team in scoring with 20 points on a field goal percentage of 75.0%.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
I Last year, the Pelicans saw a drop in overall scoring when playing the Heat, averaging 97.5 points per game. While the Pelicans struggled on offense in the series, the Heat maintained their usual level of scoring at 112.5 vs New Orleans. Across the previous 5 meetings between the teams, the Heat have an average scoring margin of +16 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 5-0. The over-under record in these same games is 1-3-1, with the teams combining for an average of 208 points per game.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
Heading into play, the Pelicans offense is rated 9th in the league in scoring, averaging 116.4 points per contest. When looking at the Pelicans pace of play, they tend to play an up-tempo style of basketball. So far, the team is in the upper half of the NBA in possessions per game, averaging 100.7. Even though the unit has one of the lower effective field goal percentages in the NBA at 54.3%. Their up-tempo style of play has given them enough opportunites to make up for their poor shooting numbers.
Defensively, New Orleans has had its problems giving up an average of 110.28 points per game (13th).
A key injury to note in this game is the absence of the Pelicans 2nd leading scorer, Zion Williamson. In his 29 games, Williamson is averaging 26.0 points per game while dishing out 4.6 assists and grabbing 7.0 rebounds. In his absence, the team will be looking for even more production out of CJ McCollum, who leads the team and is 41st in the NBA at 21.3 points per contest. For the season, he has connected on 43.1% of his field goal attempts while taking 20.8% of the team’s shots from the floor.
For the season, the Heat offensive unit is ranked just 30th in scoring at 108.8 points per contest. When looking at the team’s pace of play, the Heat are currently below the league average in possessions per game, averaging just 96.8 per contest. A key aspect of the team’s offensive struggles is the fact that they not only play at a slow pace, but they struggle to score inside. Heading into today’s game, Miami is just 24th in shots made inside the arc.
Against the Pelicans, the Heat will look to continue their strong defensive play. For the year, they are the 4th ranked unit at 105.57 points per game.
On offense, Bam Adebayo leads the Heat in scoring at 21.5 points per game, placing him 40th in the NBA. Overall, Adebayo has hit 53.9% of his shots while accounting for 18.5% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 20th in points allowed to centers. At 20.6 points per game, Tyler Herro is the 2nd leading scorer for the Heat. For the season, he is 114th in the league in player efficiency rating, while posting a field goal percentage of 44.7%.
Pelicans vs Heat Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Pelicans +7
- Free Total Prediction: Under 222.0
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