Check out our free Pistons vs Heat pick and preview for this NBA game in Miami. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.

Pistons vs Heat NBA Pick & Preview

  • Sport: NBA
  • Teams: Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat
  • Where: Miami at FTX Arena
  • Date: Tuesday, December 6th
  • Betting Odds MIA -8.5, DET +298 | MIA -388 O/U 221.0

The Pistons come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 6-19. So far, the team has gone 13-12-0 against the spread. Across the team’s previous 3 games, they have gone 1-2 straight-up and 1-2 vs the spread.

Detroit is trying to bounce back from a 122-112 loss to the Grizzlies. Going into this game, the team was 6 point underdogs on the spread, giving them an ATS loss. Detroit got off to a slow start, trailing by 12 points going into halftime. In the loss, Saddiq Bey led the team in scoring with 24 points on a field goal percentage of 43.8%.

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The Heat come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 11-13. So far, the team has gone 8-15-1 against the spread. Across the team’s previous 3 games, they have gone 1-2 straight-up and 1-2 vs the spread.

The Heat are coming off a dissappointing 101-93 loss to the Grizzlies. Going into the game, they were favored to win by 5 points. Miami was not able to make a comeback in this matchup, as they went into the half down by 7. In the loss, Tyler Herro led the team in scoring with 23 points on a field goal percentage of 40.0%.

Head To Head Recap & Stats

Last season, the Heat finished with the leg up in their head-to-head games vs Detroit, going 3-1. When they played the Pistons at home, they posted a mark of 2-0. Similar to their season-long average, the Pistons averaged 100.5 points per game vs the Heat. While the Pistons were able to maintain their usual level of production against Miami, the Heat averaged fewer points per game in the series, at 102.5. Across the last 5 matchups between the teams, Detroit has gone 4-1 vs the spread. However, the Heat actually have a positive scoring margin in these games at +5 points per game. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 2-3. Combined, they averaged 207 points in these games.

Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game

This season, the Detroit offense is ranked 24th in the NBA in scoring at 110.1 points per game. Coming into today’s game, the Pistons will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 11.0 made 3’s per game. One area of the team’s offense that has been effective is their ability to get to the free-throw line. So far, they are ranked 1st, with an average of 20.9 made free-throws per game.

Against the Heat, the Pistons will need a stronger defensive effort as they are ranked just 22nd in points allowed.

This season, the Pistons offense has primarily worked through Bojan Bogdanovic and Jaden Ivey who are 1st and 2nd on the team in scoring. In his 24 games, Bogdanovic is 44th in the NBA at 20.6 points per game. so far, him and Ivey have accounted for 31% of the team’s field goal attempts while combining to average 36.5 points per contest. In addition to sitting 2nd on the team in scoring, Jaden Ivey is grabbing 4.9 rebounds for Detroit to go along with 4.3 assists.

For the season, the Heat offensive unit is ranked just 28th in scoring at 108.8 points per contest. So far, the Heat are averaging 98.2 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. Right now, the Heat offense is in search of answers, as not only do they tend to play at a slow pace, but they are just 25th in effective field goal percentage.

On the defensive end of the floor, the Heat are giving up an average of 105.57 points per game, good for 4th in the NBA.

On offense, Bam Adebayo leads the Heat in scoring at 20.7 points per game, placing him 43rd in the NBA. Overall, Adebayo has hit 52.5% of his shots while accounting for 17.6% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 19th in points allowed to centers. At 14.6 points per game, Kyle Lowry is the 2nd leading scorer for the Heat. For the season, he is 226th in the league in player efficiency rating, while posting a field goal percentage of 40.2%.

Pistons vs Heat Pick

  • Free Spread Prediction: Pistons +8.5
  • Free Total Prediction: Over 221.0



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