Check out our free Pistons vs Mavericks pick and preview for this NBA game in Dallas. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Pistons vs Mavericks NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Detroit Pistons at Dallas Mavericks
- Where: Dallas at American Airlines Center
- Date: Monday, January 30th
- Betting Odds DAL -8, DET +276 | DAL -348 O/U OFF
The Pistons come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 13-38. So far, the team has gone 22-28-1 against the spread. Across the team’s previous 3 games, they have gone 1-2 straight-up and 1-2 vs the spread.
The Pistons are coming off a disappointing 117-114 loss to the Rockets. Going into the game, they were favored to win by 6 points. Detroit was not able to turn things around in the 2nd half, as they trailed the Rockets by 3 going into halftime. Leading the team in scoring was Alec Burks, as he contributed 21 points while hitting 50.0% of his shots.
The Mavericks come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 26-25. So far, the team has gone 17-32-2 against the spread. Over the team’s past 3 games, Dallas has an overall record of 1-2, including going 1-2 against the spread.
Dallas is trying to bounce back from a 108-100 loss to the Jazz. Going into this game, the team was 7 point underdogs on the spread, giving them an ATS loss. In the loss, Dallas got off to a slow start, trailing by 18 points going into halftime. In the loss, Spencer Dinwiddie led the team in scoring with 35 points on a field goal percentage of 47.8%.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
I Last year, the Pistons saw a drop in overall scoring when playing the Mavericks, averaging 99.5 points per game. As for Detroit, they actually improved their points per game numbers in head-to-head matchups, averaging 123.5 points per contest against the Mavericks. In terms of betting, Dallas has an ATS record of 3-2 in the previous 5 matchups vs Detroit. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +12 points per game in favor of the Mavericks. A combined average of 232 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 4-1.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
The Pistons come into today’s game as the 21st ranked scoring offense at 112.8 points per game. When looking at the Pistons pace of play, they tend to play an up-tempo style of basketball. So far, the team is in the upper half of the NBA in possessions per game, averaging 100.3. If the Pistons are going to turn things around on offense, they must improve their overall shooting efficiency. In particular, the 3-point shot has been problematic for the unit, as they are just 17th in 3-point shooting percentage.
Defensively, Detroit has had its problems giving up an average of 112.55 points per game (22nd).
This season, the Pistons offense has primarily worked through Bojan Bogdanovic and Jaden Ivey who are 1st and 2nd on the team in scoring. In his 48 games, Bogdanovic is 44th in the NBA at 21.2 points per game. So far, him and Ivey have accounted for 31% of the team’s field goal attempts while combining to average 36.3 points per contest. In addition to sitting 2nd on the team in scoring, Jaden Ivey is grabbing 4.1 rebounds for Detroit to go along with 4.5 assists.
For the season, the Mavericks offensive unit is ranked just 24th in scoring at 112.4 points per contest. So far, the Mavericks are averaging 96.4 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. Although the Mavericks have a current effective field goal percentage of 55.9%, their below average pace of play is a key factor behind their mediocre scoring numbers.
Defensively, the Mavericks are one of the top performing units in the league, giving up 104.72 points per contest (2nd).
One situation to keep an eye on leading up the game is the availability of Luka Doncic, as he is currently questionable on the injury report. If he is able to play, the team will have it’s 1-2 punch availble as Doncic leads the team in scoring at 33.0 points per game while Dinwiddie is 2nd at 17.6. For the season, Doncic is 4th in the NBA in usage rate and 11th in player efficiency. Behind him, Dinwiddie has taken 15.5% of the team’s field goal attempts, connecting at a rate of 46.4%.
Pistons vs Mavericks Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Mavericks -8
- Free Total Prediction: Under OFF