Check out our free Rockets vs Heat pick and preview for this NBA game in Miami. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.

Rockets vs Heat NBA Pick & Preview

  • Sport: NBA
  • Teams: Houston Rockets at Miami Heat
  • Where: Miami at Miami-Dade Arena
  • Date: Friday, February 10th
  • Betting Odds MIA -10.5, HOU +407 | MIA -556 O/U 227.0

So far, the Rockets have put together an overall record of 13-42, while going 21-32-2 vs the spread. Houston will take the court having lost 4 straight games. The team has an average scoring margin of -15.0 in these matchups.

Houston will be gunning to get in the win column vs the Heat, as they previously lost to the Kings by a score of 130-128. However, because they entered as 8 point underdogs, they came away with an ATS win. Houston let an opportunity for a win slip away as they held a lead going into the 2nd half of action. Leading the team in scoring was Jalen Green, as he contributed 41 points while hitting 63.6% of his shots.

The Heat come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 30-25. So far, the team has gone 21-32-2 against the spread. Across the team’s previous 3 games, they have gone 1-2 straight-up and 0-3 vs the spread.

Miami is going for another win in today’s game, as they previously took down the Pacers. Going into the game, they were 6 point favorites against the spread. Their 116-111 victory was not enough to cover. Although Miami trailed the Pacers going into halftime, by the end of the 3rd quarter they had taken the lead. In the win, Bam Adebayo led the team in scoring with 38 points on a field goal percentage of 75.0%.

Head To Head Recap & Stats

I Similar to their season-long average, the Rockets averaged 108.0 points per game vs the Heat. On the other side, Miami saw an improvement in their scoring numbers when playing the Rockets, as they averaged 121.5 points per game in these matchups. The ATS record across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings is 5-0 in favor of the Heat. In these matchups, Miami has averaged 113 points per game, while allowing 101. A combined average of 214 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 3-2.

Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game

Through 55 games, the Rockets are averaging 110.4 points per contest, placing them 29th in the NBA. So far, the Rockets are averaging 99.1 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. Their slower style of play has created fewer offensive opportunities, leading to them being ranked 27th in fields goals made per contest.

Currently, the Rockets defense is ranked 30th in points allowed. So far, opposing teams are averaging 118.2 points per game vs the unit.

Shooting Guard Jalen Green currently leads the Rockets at 22.0 points per game. For the season, he is 36th in the NBA in usage rate and has taken 20.2% of the team’s field goal attempts. In addition to his scoring, Green is averaging 4.0 boards and 3.6 assists per contest. In today’s game, he is facing off against the NBA’s 15th ranked defense at defending shooting guards. Alperen Sengün enters the game sitting second on the team in scoring. Through 50 games, he is averaging 15.4 and is 50th in the league in player efficiency rating.

For the season, the Heat offensive unit is ranked just 30th in scoring at 108.6 points per contest. So far, the Heat are averaging 96.8 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. A key aspect of the team’s offensive struggles is the fact that they not only play at a slow pace, but they struggle to score inside. Heading into today’s game, Miami is just 24th in shots made inside the arc.

Defensively, the Heat are one of the top performing units in the league, giving up 105.57 points per contest (4th).

Center Bam Adebayo currently leads the Heat at 21.8 points per game. For the season, he is 62nd in the NBA in usage rate and has taken 18.3% of the team’s field goal attempts. In addition to his scoring, Adebayo is averaging 10.0 boards and 3.2 assists per contest. In today’s game, he is facing off against the NBA’s 7th ranked defense at defending centers. Jimmy Butler enters the game sitting second on the team in scoring. Through 40 games, he is averaging 22.0 and is 22nd in the league in player efficiency rating.

Rockets vs Heat Pick

  • Free Spread Prediction: Rockets +10.5
  • Free Total Prediction: Over 227.0

Props