Check out our free Rockets vs Mavericks pick and preview for this NBA game in Dallas. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Rockets vs Mavericks NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks
- Where: Dallas at American Airlines Center
- Date: Thursday, December 29th
- Betting Odds DAL -10.5, HOU +426 | DAL -590 O/U 222.5
So far, the Rockets have put together an overall record of 10-24, while going 15-17-2 vs the spread. Over the team’s past 3 games, Houston has an overall record of 1-2, including going 2-1 against the spread.
Houston is trying to bounce back from a 126-102 loss to the Celtics. Going into this game, the team was 15 point underdogs on the spread, giving them an ATS loss. In the defeat, Houston did not outscore the Celtics in a single quarter. Leading the team in scoring was Jalen Green, as he contributed 28 points while hitting 50.0% of his shots.
The Mavericks come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 19-16. So far, the team has gone 12-21-2 against the spread. Dallas comes into the game having rattled off 4 straight wins. In these victories, the team has an average scoring margin of 6.25 points per game
Dallas is going for another win in today’s game, as they previously took down the Knicks. Going into the game, they were 5 point favorites against the spread. Their 126-121 victory was not enough to cover. Dallas pulled out the win despite trailing by 8 going into halftime. The team did not put a dent in this deficit in the 3rd quarter, but put together a strong comeback effort in the 4th. Leading the team in scoring was Luka Doncic, as he contributed 60 points while hitting 67.7% of his shots.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
I Last year, the Rockets saw a drop in overall scoring when playing the Mavericks, averaging 100.75 points per game. As for Houston, they actually improved their points per game numbers in head-to-head matchups, averaging 117.25 points per contest against the Mavericks. In terms of betting, Dallas has an ATS record of 3-2 in the previous 5 matchups vs Houston. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +11 points per game in favor of the Mavericks. Houston and Dallas averaged a combined 211 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 1-4.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
The Rockets come into today’s game as the 28th ranked scoring offense at 109.9 points per game. So far, the Rockets are averaging 99.1 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. A key aspect of the team’s offensive struggles is the fact that they not only play at a slow pace, but they struggle to score inside. Heading into today’s game, Houston is just 20th in shots made inside the arc.
Defensively, Houston has had its problems giving up an average of 118.2 points per game (30th).
This season, the Rockets offense has primarily worked through Jalen Green and Kevin Porter Jr. who are 1st and 2nd on the team in scoring. In his 34 games, Green is 37th in the NBA at 21.6 points per game. So far, him and Porter Jr. have accounted for 38% of the team’s field goal attempts while combining to average 40.900000000000006 points per contest. In addition to sitting 2nd on the team in scoring, Kevin Porter Jr. is grabbing 5.5 rebounds for Houston to go along with 5.7 assists.
Through 35 games, the Mavericks are averaging 111.8 points per contest, placing them 20th in the NBA. When looking at the team’s pace of play, the Mavericks are currently below the league average in possessions per game, averaging just 96.5 per contest. Although the Mavericks have a current effective field goal percentage of 55.7%, their below average pace of play is a key factor behind their mediocre scoring numbers.
So far, the Mavericks have played well defensively, as they are ranked 2nd in the league at 104.72 points per contest.
Point-Guard Luka Doncic currently leads the Mavericks at 33.6 points per game. For the season, he is 3rd in the NBA in usage rate and has taken 27.1% of the team’s field goal attempts. In addition to his scoring, Doncic is averaging 8.7 boards and 8.8 assists per contest. In today’s game, he is facing off against the NBA’s 12th ranked defense at defending point-guards. Spencer Dinwiddie enters the game sitting second on the team in scoring. Through 34 games, he is averaging 16.5 and is 123rd in the league in player efficiency rating.
Rockets vs Mavericks Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Mavericks -10.5
- Free Total Prediction: Under 222.5
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