Check out our free Spurs vs Grizzlies pick and preview for this NBA game in Memphis. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Spurs vs Grizzlies NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies
- Where: Memphis at FedExForum
- Date: Wednesday, January 11th
- Betting Odds MEM -14, SA +722 | MEM -1154 O/U OFF
The Spurs come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 13-28. So far, the team has gone 20-21-0 against the spread. Today, the Spurs will be looking to snap a 2 game losing streak. In these games, they have an average scoring differential of -6.5 points.
San Antonio will be gunning to get in the win column vs the Grizzlies, as they previously lost to the Grizzlies by a score of 121-113. However, because they entered as 11 point underdogs, they came away with an ATS win. San Antonio got off to a slow start, trailing by 11 points going into halftime. In the loss, Tre Jones led the team in scoring with 18 points on a field goal percentage of 37.5%.
The Grizzlies come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 27-13. So far, the team has gone 20-18-2 against the spread. Memphis comes into the game having rattled off 7 straight wins. In these victories, the team has an average scoring margin of 11.86 points per game
The Grizzlies are coming off a 121-113 win over the Spurs. Although they came away with a straight up win, it was not enough to cover the spread as they entered as 11 point favorites. Memphis was able to take care of business in the second half of this game, as they didn’t allow the Spurs to cut into their 11 point halftime lead. In the win, Tyus Jones led the team in scoring with 24 points on a field goal percentage of 57.9%.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
I Similar to their season-long average, the Spurs averaged 107.75 points per game vs the Grizzlies. Similar to the Spurs, the Grizzlies scored at a rate near the league average. In their games vs San Antonio, the team averaged 116.5 points per game. Although the Spurs have the better ATS mark across the previous 5 head-head matchups at 3-2, the average scoring margin sits in favor of Memphis, as they averaged 118 points per game while allowing 112. A combined average of 230 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 1-3-1.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
This season, the San Antonio offense is ranked 23rd in the NBA in scoring at 112.0 points per game. Coming into today’s game, the Spurs will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 10.9 made 3’s per game. One reason that they are still scoring at a high rate, is the fact that they are ranked 10th in the NBA in possessions per contest. These increased opportunites have helped make up for the lack of outside shooting.
Defensively, San Antonio has had its problems giving up an average of 113.04 points per game (23rd).
In their upcoming game against the Grizzlies, the Spurs may be without two of their top scorers. Devin Vassell is already listed as out, while Keldon Johnson is questionable. Smart bettors will be paying close attention to the injury report for this game. If he is able to play, Keldon Johnson will likely be more aggressive on offense. He has accounted for 19.3% of the team’s field goal attempts and is 30th in the league in usage rate, averaging 21.2 points per game.
Through 40 games, Memphis is the 8th best scoring team at 116.4 points per game. Coming into today’s game, the Grizzlies will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 11.4 made 3’s per game. Memphis appears to be a candidate to have some offensive regression as not only are the a below average outside shooting unit, but they are generating free-throws at a rate below the NBA average.
Against the Spurs, the Grizzlies will look to continue their strong defensive play. For the year, they are the 12th ranked unit at 109.93 points per game.
On offense, Ja Morant leads the Grizzlies in scoring at 27.2 points per game, placing him 13th in the NBA. Overall, Morant has hit 46.4% of his shots while accounting for 22.5% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 29th in points allowed to point-guards. At 17.0 points per game, Dillon Brooks is the 2nd leading scorer for the Grizzlies. For the season, he is 292nd in the league in player efficiency rating, while posting a field goal percentage of 40.6%.
Spurs vs Grizzlies Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Grizzlies -14
- Free Total Prediction: Under OFF
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