Check out our free Spurs vs Warriors pick and preview for this NBA game in San Francisco. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Spurs vs Warriors NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: San Antonio Spurs at Golden State Warriors
- Where: San Francisco at Chase Center
- Date: Friday, March 31st
- Betting Odds GS -16, SA +986 | GS -1955 O/U OFF
The Spurs come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 19-57. So far, the team has gone 30-46-0 against the spread. Over the Spurs current 5 game losing streak, they have an average scoring differential of -27.6 points per game.
San Antonio is trying to bounce back from a 128-117 loss to the Jazz. Going into this game, the team was 2 point underdogs on the spread, giving them an ATS loss. San Antonio was not able to turn things around in the 2nd half, as they trailed the Jazz by 11 going into halftime. Leading the team in scoring was Malaki Branham, as he contributed 21 points while hitting 58.3% of his shots.
So far, the Warriors have put together an overall record of 40-37, while going 36-40-1 vs the spread. Against the spread, Golden State has a mark of 2-1. Straight up, their record is 2-1 in these games.
In their previous game, the Warriors took down the Pelicans by a score of 120-109. Not only did they come away with a straight up win, but they also covered the spread as 8 point favorites. Golden State pulled out the win despite trailing by 17 points in the half. The team was able to trim down the Pelicans lead down to 4 heading into the 4th quarter. Leading the team in scoring was Stephen Curry, as he contributed 39 points while hitting 56.0% of his shots.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Warriors picked up the 132-95 win over the Spurs. The Warriors point margin of victory was enough to cover the spread as 8.5 point favorite. So far this season, the Warriors have a record of 2-0 vs the Spurs. Similar to their season-long average, the Spurs averaged 109.0 points per game vs the Warriors. Similar to the Spurs, the Warriors scored at a rate near the league average. In their games vs San Antonio, the team averaged 109.75 points per game. The ATS record across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings is 3-2 in favor of the Warriors. In these matchups, Golden State has averaged 121 points per game, while allowing 106. A combined average of 227 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
Through 76 games, the Spurs are averaging 112.1 points per contest, placing them 25th in the NBA. In terms of pace, the Spurs are on the top units in the NBA, averaging 101.6 possessions per game. If the Spurs are going to turn things around on offense, they must improve their overall shooting efficiency. In particular, the 3-point shot has been problematic for the unit, as they are just 25th in 3-point shooting percentage.
Against the Warriors, the Spurs will need a stronger defensive effort as they are ranked just 23rd in points allowed.
On offense, Keldon Johnson leads the Spurs in scoring at 22.0 points per game, placing him 34th in the NBA. Overall, Johnson has hit 45.3% of his shots while accounting for 19.1% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 29th in points allowed to small-forwards. At 12.5 points per game, Tre Jones is the 2nd leading scorer for the Spurs. For the season, he is 152nd in the league in player efficiency rating, while posting a field goal percentage of 44.8%.
Golden State will look to continue with their strong offensive play, as they are averaging 118.2 points per game (3rd). So far, Golden State is averaging 101.8 possessions per game, making them one of the more up-tempo teams in the league. Golden State has been effective on offense due to the fact that they not only play an up-tempo style, but they have one of the best effective field goal percentages in the league at 56.9%.
So far, the Warriors have played well defensively, as they are ranked 3rd in the league at 105.46 points per contest.
Point-Guard Jordan Poole currently leads the Warriors at 20.4 points per game. For the season, he is 28th in the NBA in usage rate and has taken 17.5% of the team’s field goal attempts. In addition to his scoring, Poole is averaging 2.8 boards and 4.5 assists per contest. In today’s game, he is facing off against the NBA’s 25th ranked defense at defending point-guards. Stephen Curry enters the game sitting second on the team in scoring. Through 51 games, he is averaging 29.6 and is 12th in the league in player efficiency rating.
Spurs vs Warriors Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Warriors -16
- Free Total Prediction: Over OFF