Check out our free Suns vs Mavericks pick and preview for this NBA game in Dallas. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Suns vs Mavericks NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Phoenix Suns at Dallas Mavericks
- Where: Dallas at American Airlines Center
- Date: Monday, December 5th
- Betting Odds DAL -3, PHO +134 | DAL -165 O/U 221.5
So far, the Suns have put together an overall record of 16-7, while going 13-8-2 vs the spread. Over the team’s past 3 games, Phoenix has an overall record of 2-1, including going 2-1 against the spread.
In their previous game, the Suns took down the Spurs by a score of 133-95. Not only did they come away with a straight up win, but they also covered the spread as 10 point favorites. Phoenix was able to maintain control throughout the game, as they outscored the Spurs in each quarter. Leading the team in scoring was Deandre Ayton, as he contributed 25 points while hitting 71.4% of his shots.
The Mavericks come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 11-11. So far, the team has gone 6-15-1 against the spread. Across the team’s previous 3 games, they have gone 2-1 straight-up and 2-1 vs the spread.
In their previous game, the Mavericks took down the Knicks by a score of 121-100. Not only did they come away with a straight up win, but they also covered the spread as 1 point favorites. Dallas actually trailed the Knicks by 7 before putting themselves on top with a strong 3rd quarter performance. Going into the final period, the team led by 19. In the win, Luka Doncic led the team in scoring with 30 points on a field goal percentage of 52.4%.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
I Last year, the Suns saw a drop in overall scoring when playing the Mavericks, averaging 108.67 points per game. Like the Suns, the Mavericks scored at a rate below their season average, finishing with 101.0 points per game vs Phoenix. In terms of betting, Dallas has an ATS record of 4-1 in the previous 5 matchups vs Phoenix. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +8 points per game in favor of the Mavericks. A combined average of 204 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 1-4.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
For the season, the Phoenix offense is the 7th ranked unit in the NBA, at 116.7 points per contest. So far, the Suns are averaging 97.7 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. A key reason behind the team’s overall offensive success is their ability to knock down the 3-point shot. Despite their slow style of play, their 3-point shooting percentage of 38.6% has help make up for fewer opportunites.
On the defensive end of the floor, the Suns are giving up an average of 107.33 points per game, good for 9th in the NBA.
This season, the Suns offense has primarily worked through Devin Booker and Mikal Bridges who are 1st and 2nd on the team in scoring. In his 23 games, Booker is 8th in the NBA at 29.13 points per game. so far, him and Bridges have accounted for 36% of the team’s field goal attempts while combining to average 45.26 points per contest. In addition to sitting 2nd on the team in scoring, Mikal Bridges is grabbing 5.35 rebounds for Phoenix to go along with 3.39 assists.
The Mavericks come into today’s game as the 21st ranked scoring offense at 110.6 points per game. So far, the Mavericks are averaging 96.5 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. Although the Mavericks have a current effective field goal percentage of 55.4%, their below average pace of play is a key factor behind their mediocre scoring numbers.
On the defensive end of the floor, the Mavericks are giving up an average of 104.72 points per game, good for 2nd in the NBA.
On offense, Luka Doncic leads the Mavericks in scoring at 33.38 points per game, placing him 1st in the NBA. Overall, Doncic has hit 50.6% of his shots while accounting for 27.2% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 10th in points allowed to point-guards. At 16.27 points per game, Spencer Dinwiddie is the 2nd leading scorer for the Mavericks. For the season, he is 126th in the league in player efficiency rating, while posting an effective field goal percentage of 19.54.
Suns vs Mavericks Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Suns +3
- Free Total Prediction: Under 221.5
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