Check out our free Suns vs Nuggets pick and preview for this NBA game in Denver. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Suns vs Nuggets NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Phoenix Suns at Denver Nuggets
- Where: Denver at Ball Arena
- Date: Sunday, December 25th
- Betting Odds DEN -3.5, PHO +138 | DEN -166 O/U 231.5
So far, the Suns have put together an overall record of 19-14, while going 16-15-2 vs the spread. The Suns come into the game in the middle of a 2 game losing streak, losing these matchups by an average of -14.0 points per contest.
Phoenix is trying to bounce back from a 125-100 loss to the Grizzlies. Going into this game, the team was 2 point underdogs on the spread, giving them an ATS loss. Phoenix struggled throughout the game, as they were not able to chip away at a 21 point halftime deficit. In the loss, Deandre Ayton led the team in scoring with 18 points on a field goal percentage of 75.0%.
So far, the Nuggets have put together an overall record of 20-11, while going 14-17-0 vs the spread. Against the Suns, the Nuggets are looking to add to their current 3 game winning streak. The average margin of victory across these matchups is 10.33.
The Nuggets will look to keep things rolling, as they previously beat the Trail Blazers by a score of 120-107. Heading into the game, they were 5 point favorites against the spread, giving them an ATS win. Denver went on to win the game, despite trailing by 6 going into halftime. In the win, Nikola Jokic led the team in scoring with 29 points on a field goal percentage of 57.1%.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
In last year’s regular season, the two teams played games against each other, with the Suns walking away a series win at 2-1. Phoenix finished with an above .500 record on the road in their head-to-head matchups. In last year’s head-to-head meetings, the Suns averaged 121.33 points per game vs Denver, which was an increase over their season-long average. While the Suns saw a boost in scoring, the Nuggets averaged 112.33 points per contest in head-to-head meeting vs Phoenix. This figure was similar to season-long average. Over the last 5 head to head meetings, the Suns have averaged 121 points per game compared to 111 for Denver. This has led to an ATS record of 4-1 for Phoenix. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 3-2. Combined, they averaged 232 points in these games.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
The Suns come into today’s game as one of the better scoring teams in the NBA at 115.2 points per game (10th). The Suns come into the game as one of the league’s better 3-point shooting teams, connecting at a rate of 13.0 made 3’s per game. One thing that could take the team’s offense to the next level is if they can begin to generate more opportunites at the free-throw line. So far, they are averaging just 16.5 made free-throws per game.
So far, the Suns have played well defensively, as they are ranked 9th in the league at 107.33 points per contest.
This season, the Suns offense has primarily worked through Devin Booker and Mikal Bridges who are 1st and 2nd on the team in scoring. In his 28 games, Booker is 10th in the NBA at 28.0 points per game. So far, him and Bridges have accounted for 37% of the team’s field goal attempts while combining to average 43.8 points per contest. In addition to sitting 2nd on the team in scoring, Mikal Bridges is grabbing 4.7 rebounds for Phoenix to go along with 3.0 assists.
Through 31 games, Denver is the 8th best scoring team at 115.6 points per game. Coming into today’s game, the Nuggets will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 11.6 made 3’s per game. Denver appears to be a candidate to have some offensive regression as not only are the a below average outside shooting unit, but they are generating free-throws at a rate below the NBA average.
Against the Suns, the Nuggets will need a stronger defensive effort as they are ranked just 14th in points allowed.
Center Nikola Jokic currently leads the Nuggets at 24.9 points per game. For the season, he is 34th in the NBA in usage rate and has taken 17.7% of the team’s field goal attempts. In addition to his scoring, Jokic is averaging 10.9 boards and 9.2 assists per contest. In today’s game, he is facing off against the NBA’s 17th ranked defense at defending centers. Aaron Gordon enters the game sitting second on the team in scoring. Through 28 games, he is averaging 17.1 and is 39th in the league in player efficiency rating.
Suns vs Nuggets Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Nuggets -3.5
- Free Total Prediction: Under 231.5