Check out our free Thunder vs Heat pick and preview for this NBA game in Miami. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.

Thunder vs Heat NBA Pick & Preview

  • Sport: NBA
  • Teams: Oklahoma City Thunder at Miami Heat
  • Where: Miami at FTX Arena
  • Date: Tuesday, January 10th
  • Betting Odds MIA -4.5, OKC +165 | MIA -202 O/U 224.5

The Thunder come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 18-22. So far, the team has gone 24-16-0 against the spread. Oklahoma City comes into the game having rattled off 2 straight wins. In these games, they have an average scoring differential of 14.0 points.

In their previous game, the Thunder took down the Mavericks by a score of 120-109. Not only did they come away with a straight up win, but they also covered the spread as 4 point favorites. Oklahoma City played well enough in the second half to prevent the Mavericks from making things interesting down the stretch, as they led by 14 going into halftime. In the win, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in scoring with 33 points on a field goal percentage of 64.7%.

So far, the Heat have put together an overall record of 21-20, while going 17-23-1 vs the spread. Over the team’s past 3 games, Miami has an overall record of 1-2, including going 2-1 against the spread.

The Heat will be looking to bounce back from a 102-101 loss to the Nets. In terms of betting, Miami entered as 2 point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. Miami was not able to make a comeback in this matchup, as they went into the half down by 2. In the loss, Jimmy Butler led the team in scoring with 26 points on a field goal percentage of 42.9%.

Head To Head Recap & Stats

I Similar to their season-long average, the Thunder averaged 99.0 points per game vs the Heat. Similar to the Thunder, the Heat scored at a rate near the league average. In their games vs Oklahoma City, the team averaged 111.5 points per game. In terms of betting, Miami has an ATS record of 3-2 in the previous 5 matchups vs Oklahoma City. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +13 points per game in favor of the Heat. Oklahoma City and Miami averaged a combined 209 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 1-4.

Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game

The Thunder come into today’s game as one of the better scoring teams in the NBA at 116.5 points per game (8th). Coming into today’s game, the Thunder will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 12.0 made 3’s per game. If the team is going to improve their scoring numbers, they will need to become more efficient with their shots as Oklahoma City is already one of the leaders in pace, averaging 102.4 possessions per game.

On defense, the Thunder will look for some improved play, as they are currently the 15th ranked unit in points allowed per game.

On offense, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads the Thunder in scoring at 30.9 points per game, placing him 4th in the NBA. Overall, Gilgeous-Alexander has hit 50.1% of his shots while accounting for 22.1% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 12th in points allowed to point-guards. At 14.3 points per game, Luguentz Dort is the 2nd leading scorer for the Thunder. For the season, he is 271st in the league in player efficiency rating, while posting a field goal percentage of 41.0%.

The Heat come into today’s game as the 30th ranked scoring offense at 108.7 points per game. So far, the Heat are averaging 97.2 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. A key aspect of the team’s offensive struggles is the fact that they not only play at a slow pace, but they struggle to score inside. Heading into today’s game, Miami is just 27th in shots made inside the arc.

Defensively, the Heat are one of the top performing units in the league, giving up 105.57 points per contest (4th).

Right now there are question marks across the board heading into this game for the Heat as there is a chance they will be without their two leading scorers vs the Thunder. Before getting any money down on this game, be sure to check who is available, as Bam Adebayo and Tyler Herro have a combined scoring average of 42.599999999999994 points per game. For the season, Adebayo is 60th in the NBA in player efficiency and 1st in usage percentage. Through 37 games, he has a field goal percentage of 53.8%. If he is able to take the floor, he will be facing a defense that is 24th in points allowed to centers.

Thunder vs Heat Pick

  • Free Spread Prediction: Heat -4.5
  • Free Total Prediction: Under 224.5



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