Check out our free Thunder vs Nuggets pick and preview for this NBA game in Denver. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Thunder vs Nuggets NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets
- Where: Denver at Ball Arena
- Date: Sunday, January 22nd
- Betting Odds DEN -6, OKC +191 | DEN -240 O/U OFF
The Thunder come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 22-24. So far, the team has gone 30-16-0 against the spread. In the teams past 3 games, their overall mark sits at 2-1. Oklahoma City is 3-0 vs the spread in these matchups.
Oklahoma City will be gunning to get in the win column vs the Nuggets, as they previously lost to the Kings by a score of 118-113. However, because they entered as 5 point underdogs, they came away with an ATS win. Oklahoma City let an opportunity for a win slip away as they held a lead going into the 2nd half of action. In the loss, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in scoring with 37 points on a field goal percentage of 69.6%.
The Nuggets come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 33-13. So far, the team has gone 24-21-1 against the spread. The Nuggets entered today’s game having picked up 9 straight wins. This has come on an average scoring differential of 15.22 points per game.
In their previous game, the Nuggets took down the Pacers by a score of 134-111. Not only did they come away with a straight up win, but they also covered the spread as 6 point favorites. Denver went on to win the game, as they led by 8 heading into halftime. In the win, Aaron Gordon led the team in scoring with 28 points on a field goal percentage of 73.3%.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
I Similar to their season-long average, the Thunder averaged 107.25 points per game vs the Nuggets. While the Thunder were able to maintain their usual level of production against Denver, the Nuggets averaged fewer points per game in the series, at 103.25. In terms of betting vs the spread, the Thunder have gone 3-2, but the Nuggets actually have a positive scoring differential. In these meetings, Denver has averaged 119 points per contest, while allowing 115. A combined average of 234 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 4-1.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
For the season, the Oklahoma City offense is the 8th ranked unit in the NBA, at 116.9 points per contest. Coming into today’s game, the Thunder will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 12.2 made 3’s per game. Oklahoma City appears to be a candidate to have some offensive regression as not only are they a below average outside shooting unit, but they are generating free-throws at a rate below the NBA average.
Currently, the Thunder defense is ranked 15th in points allowed. So far, opposing teams are averaging 111.83 points per game vs the unit.
On offense, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads the Thunder in scoring at 30.6 points per game, placing him 5th in the NBA. Overall, Gilgeous-Alexander has hit 50.7% of his shots while accounting for 21.7% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 20th in points allowed to point-guards. At 16.0 points per game, Josh Giddey is the 2nd leading scorer for the Thunder. For the season, he is 113rd in the league in player efficiency rating, while posting a field goal percentage of 48.4%.
The Denver offense will take the floor in today’s game with the league’s 5th ranked offense at 117.6 points per game. The Nuggets come into the game as one of the league’s better 3-point shooting teams, connecting at a rate of 12.2 made 3’s per game. A key to the team’s offensive success is their ability to knock down outside shots, as they are ranked 12th in 3-point shots made per game. Their overall offensive numbers could go up if they begin to play at a faster pace. So far, they are below the league average in possessions per contest.
Currently, the Nuggets defense is ranked 14th in points allowed. So far, opposing teams are averaging 110.41 points per game vs the unit.
Right now there are question marks across the board heading into this game for the Nuggets as there is a chance they will be without their two leading scorers vs the Thunder. Before getting any money down on this game, be sure to check who is available, as Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray have a combined scoring average of 43.8 points per game. For the season, Jokic is 4th in the NBA in player efficiency and 2nd in usage percentage. Through 41 games, he has a field goal percentage of 62.6%. If he is able to take the floor, he will be facing a defense that is 25th in points allowed to centers.
Thunder vs Nuggets Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Nuggets -6
- Free Total Prediction: Over OFF